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Macro Charts
@MacroCharts
30 years in markets. ex-Fund Manager, now independent. Focus on BIG trends, actionable ideas, and execution.
Charts / Substack:
Joined April 2019
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    (1) Buying stocks on April 7, (2) Staying bullish throughout *MOST* of the rally, (3) Looking for new opportunities all the way up, (4) Doing the hard work every single day... 2025 was one of the toughest, but most rewarding years I ever saw as an investor. It was well worth it
    A crisis of historic magnitude: - My analysis and plan, published AHEAD of this critical week. - If you're looking for OBJECTIVE, clear-cut charts and research — take a look at this report. macrocharts.com/p/global-marke…
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    "Nasdaq investor sentiment is worse now than it was in MARCH 2020." "That’s an extremely aggressive bearish posture." (Bottom 1.8% of ALL days since 2000) "Bearishness has fallen to such an extreme that it supports a significant stock market rally." Source: Mark Hulbert
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    Investor sentiment is at historic pessimism. Worse than MARCH 2020. Worse than DECEMBER 2018. Even in 2008 – similar spikes led to violent Bear Market rallies. And lastly – when investors finally got this negative, the 2000-2002 Tech Crash was *over*.
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    Absolutely unprecedented.
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    Everyone has a foot out the door. Options Traders are *again* among the most negative in history. Most signals led to market bottoms or rally extensions. The story of 2021: a historic rally fueled by doubt, shakeouts & panics. A textbook Bull Market – get ready for 2022.
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    Record Shorts, heading into next week's CPI/Econ releases.
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    Human nature never changes...
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    One of my most important Models is near a historic Buy signal. Prior signals were Major investment opportunities for those who took a Long-Term view. If history repeats, don't underestimate how far Stocks could go. The rally could just be getting started – follow the Trend.
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    Investor sentiment is at historic pessimism. In 35 years, only five other weeks got this extreme: • Four during the 1990 Recession trough / Inflation peak. • One at the exact bottom in March 2009.
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    QQQ has the most Shorts since 2018. More than MARCH 2020. A massive Tech/Growth short squeeze may just be getting started.
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    Important strength in Growth Stocks: HALF of Nasdaq Stocks have triggered Buy signals – one of the strongest spikes of all time. Spikes of this magnitude led to historic rallies in Stocks. A textbook Bull Market response after a sentiment capitulation – follow the Trend.
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    Stocks are extremely oversold. McClellan Oscillator hit bottom 1% of all days since 2007. Massive capitulation selling, in a strong market *uptrend* testing support – historically a powerful Bullish combination. A potential big Buy opportunity soon – watch closely for turn UP.
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    One of the most extreme oversold signals in history. Next week will be critical.
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    Tech is near the most oversold levels in history. Bears see the big Bear Markets. Bulls see the historic rallies – some even in Bear Markets. Traders only react – they Buy strength (a turn UP), set Stops, and follow the market. Be prepared.