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Lucas Nuzzi
@LucasNuzzi
cofounder & CEO @PortexAI | AI evals & data @ portexai.com
Joined December 2009
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    1/ I found evidence that FTX might have provided a massive bailout for Alameda in Q2 which now came back to haunt them. 40 days ago, 173 million FTT tokens worth over 4B USD became active on-chain. A rabbit hole appeared 🧵👇
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    1/ Over the past few weeks, my team at @coinmetrics has been obsessed with answering one question: How did Alameda manage to lose billions of dollars of FTX user funds? I think we've found some answers 👇🧵
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    1\ There is an alarming amount of misinformation (fueled by the media) on what exactly happened to Bitcoin yesterday, and whether funds were "double spent" Here's everything you need to know 👇
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    The beginning of Public-key cryptography: "Can the reader say what two numbers multiplied together will produce the number 8616460799? I think it unlikely that anyone but myself will ever know" -William S Jevons, The Principles of Science, 1874
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    How much does it cost to 51% attack Bitcoin and Ethereum? To find out, we simulated what an attack would look like. Our paper, Breaking BFT, was published today with some interesting results ⬇️ papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
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    #Bitcoin is like the internet, but we're still in 1988. To remind myself of that, I built a Raspiblitz Bitcoin full node + Lightning using a @Raspberry_Pi and a 1988 television. We might be early, but the #LightningNetwork solves a real problem and Bitcoin is here to stay.
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    1/ FTX might have minted Serum (SRM) off thin air to prop up its balance sheet: Serum's total supply increased by 60% this year via 2 huge mints. These were not previously disclosed based on anything I could find. 1st mint: Feb 19, 50M SRM 2nd mint: May 25, 50M SRM
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    BSV is going through a massive 51% attack. After an attempted attack yesterday, some serious hashing power was unleashed today at 11:46AM and attackers are succeeding. Over a dozen blocks are being reorgd & up to 3 versions of the chain being mined simultaneously across pools.
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    Celsius calls itself a "network" or a "lender" But in reality, they operate more like a highly-leveraged hedge fund. Their business model consists of deploying user deposits across DeFi protocols with the goal of maximizing yield. 1\ A thread on what went wrong 🧵
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    Replying to @LucasNuzzi
    5/ Here's what I think happened: - Alameda blew up in Q2 along with 3AC+ others. - It ONLY survived because it was able to secure funding from FTX using as "collateral" the 172M FTT that was guaranteed to vest 4 months later. Once vested, all tokens were sent back as repayment.
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    Replying to @LucasNuzzi
    11/ Important to note that this is my own personal highly-speculative take on what happened based on these on-chain artifacts. A lot more is likely going to come out in the following days.
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    PSA: If you think the #EOS launch was chaotic, wait until #TRON launches in a couple of days... I also happened to have reviewed the entire $TRX codebase. My eyes hurt. They should rebrand to "TRON: the Frankenstein of crypto." Learn more 👇
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    1/ It's time to have a conversation about #Dogecoin. If you're invested in $DOGE after @elonmusk's much endorsement (such wow), there are a couple of things that you should probably know👇
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    Replying to @LucasNuzzi
    10/ Long and behold, Binance comes to FTX's rescue. Did CZ just walk out with one of his largest competitors at the expense of a relatively large FTT bag he was going to unwind anyways? Huge if true™️