Janatan Sayeh (@JanatanSayeh) / X

Janatan Sayeh

607 posts

Janatan Sayeh

@JanatanSayeh

Research Analyst @FDD focusing on Iran, Israel and China | Published @WashInstitute and @criticalthreats | @IRIglobal alum

Washington, DC

fdd.org/team/janatan-s…

Joined March 2015

Pinned
Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Jan 15
I told @GBNEWS that Iran today is not comparable to Iraq or Afghanistan in earlier eras. Iranian society is overwhelmingly anti-Islamist with a strong national identity, highly educated, and already familiar with political processes like election campaigns and party formation.
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Mar 11, 2025
“To hell with your Islamic Republic;” Iranian armed nationalist group clash with regime security forces. This confrontation in Izeh appeared more cohesive than most, suggesting a shift in the nature of nationalist armed opposition against the regime.
Iran cracks down on armed nationalist group
From longwarjournal.org
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Feb 7, 2025
Restricting Iran’s access to hard currency is imperative:exerting pressure on Ankara, Abu Dhabi, and Baghdad to scale back their trade with Tehran. Assertive measures against Beijing include directly designating Chinese firms, vs merely sanctioning front companies.
FDD
@FDD
Feb 7, 2025
U.S. Treasury Should Target Iran’s Trading Partners New FDD Policy Brief by @SGhasseminejad and @JanatanSayeh: fdd.org/analysis/polic…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Dec 14, 2024
To deflect the humiliating defeat of Assad’s collapse, Iranian officials have claimed that the Tehran-Damascus alliance had been weakening, and Iran no longer aimed to preserve the Assad dynasty. However, leaks from Tehran and insights into Iranian regional strategy tell a
FDD
@FDD
Dec 13, 2024
Iran never gave up on Assad; it simply failed to protect him @JanatanSayeh in FDD's @LongWarJournal: fdd.org/analysis/op_ed…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Apr 15, 2020
My PolicyWatch for the @WashInstitute on the myths of the 1953 coup: Don’t Blame the Mossadeq Coup for Iran’s Anti-Americanism
Don’t Blame the Mossadeq Coup for Iran’s Anti-Americanism
From washingtoninstitute.org
Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Sep 25, 2024
The regime’s strategy is one of damage control and it believes it can eventually recover in Southern Lebanon so long as there remains a foundation to build upon. Tehran is cultivating an image of total warfare through a series of disparate yet calculated attacks via proxies.
Long War Journal
@LongWarJournal
Sep 25, 2024
Analysis: Tehran's damage control tactics amidst Hezbollah's setbacks - longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/… - longwarjournal.org/wp-content/upl…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Feb 6, 2025
Iran’s intelligence network is not a monolithic entity but a web of competing and cooperating factions: IRGC Intel, QF, and MOI each play distinct yet overlapping roles in conducting assassinations, abductions, and sabotage operations worldwide.
Long War Journal
@LongWarJournal
Feb 6, 2025
Analysis: Unpacking Iran’s counterintelligence apparatus longwarjournal.org/archives/2025/…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Apr 17, 2024
It was great joining @SamiraGharaei's Cheshmandaz show on @IranIntl to discuss Israel's potential response to this weekend's attacks by the Islamic Republic.
«در کابینه جنگ اسرائیل اعضای کابینه نتانیاهو و اعضای پارلمان در هماهنگی با یکدیگرند»
From iranintl.com
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Jan 7, 2025
“Tehran finds itself besieged by faltering influence of its regional proxies and the prospect of an Israeli strike on its nuclear facilities supported by the US. The Islamic Republic has devised a three-pronged strategy: bolstering morale through a reinvigorated propaganda
Long War Journal
@LongWarJournal
Jan 7, 2025
Analysis: Tehran’s triad: propaganda, proxies, and preparedness - longwarjournal.org/archives/2025/… - longwarjournal.org/wp-content/upl…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Oct 21, 2024
Despite allegedly leaked documents from US agencies and Tehran’s intelligence operations aimed at disrupting an Israeli response, Iran is bracing itself for an attack on its nuclear facilities. This has intensified after Hezbollah’s botched attempt to assassinate Netanyahu.
Long War Journal
@LongWarJournal
Oct 21, 2024
Analysis: Leaks and spy rings merely delay the inevitable Israeli operation. longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
May 31, 2024
As we approach the upcoming elections in Europe, the next EU parliament ought to meaningfully counter the Islamic Republic’s growing malign influence across the continent, including by designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization.
FDD's Iran Program
@FDD_Iran
May 31, 2024
.@JanatanSayeh: "...Tehran capitalizes on every opportunity to propagate antisemitism globally. The anti-Israel fervor ignited by the horrific October 7 terrorist attacks has furthered the regime’s hateful and racist agenda across Middle East and Europe." fdd.org/analysis/2024/…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Oct 18, 2024
The question is what method Israel will employ to carry out the attacks to effectively deter Tehran without escalating. Israel has two choices: either publicly demean the regime or launch a series of covert attacks, and the latter is less likely to provoke Tehran’s retaliation.
Long War Journal
@LongWarJournal
Oct 18, 2024
Analysis: The ‘How’ over the ‘What:’ Israel’s dilemma beyond target selection in Iran. longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/…
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Dec 20, 2024
“The latest designations by Biden can serve as a springboard to intensifying maximum pressure on Iran by the incoming Trump administration. To develop this leverage, Washington needs to continue targeting tankers and fully enforcing oil and petrochemical sanctions, but this
RealClearDefense
@RCDefense
Dec 19, 2024
Too Little, Too Late, By Biden on Iran dlvr.it/TGvBfM
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Janatan Sayeh
@JanatanSayeh
Mar 5, 2025
Tehran’s setbacks paved the way for Ankara’s ascent. The Ankara-backed Azerbaijan’s triumph over Tehran-backed Armenia, Turkish-supported militias outmaneuvering Iran’s influence in Syria, and now, the unraveling of the Iran-backed PKK further tilts the balance in Turkey’s favor.
Long War Journal
@LongWarJournal
Mar 5, 2025
Analysis: Iran’s loss is Turkey’s gain @JanatanSayeh longwarjournal.org/archives/2025/…
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