JSleeprStats (@JSleeprStats) / X

JSleeprStats

10.9K posts

JSleeprStats

@JSleeprStats

Math + Research = Betting 📈

linktr.ee/JSleeprStats

Joined August 2021

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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
May 26, 2025
Announcement ‼️ Sometime this week I will be starting a Substack that will be covering NBA, WNBA, and NFL to give you guys the best betting edge possible. - I want to find more ways to help yall. Similar to how I do breakdowns for games for NBA and NFL through film and data,
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Nov 27, 2024
NBA Recap 11/26 🧹🧹 Bradley Beal 15+ Pts (-125)✅ Isaiah Collier Over 3.5 Ast (+100)✅ Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 Pts (-130)✅ Bam Adebayo Under 17.5 Pts (-128)✅ Keyonte George 3+ 3PM (-115)✅ Helluva night and great run we’ve been on cashing out 23 of our last 28 props!
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Jan 13, 2024
NBA Recap 1/10 🧹🧹🧹🧹 Paolo Banchero Under 27.5 Pts (-125)✅ Anfernee Simons Under 23.5 Pts (-115)✅ Jamal Murray Under 22.5 Pts (+100)✅ Alperen Sengun Over 23.5 Pts (-125)✅ 4 SWEEPS IN 6 DAYS 🔥🔥 I dont even know what to say honestly. Now hit 44 of our last 57 Plays 📈
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 29, 2025
NBA Recap 10/28 🧹🧹 6-0 SWEEP Giving away 3 months to the Substack to TWO people who like 👍 Alexandre Sarr Over 20.5 Pts+Reb (-102)✅ Cole Anthony Over 3.5 Ast (-125)✅ Buddy Hield Under 8.5 Pts (-122)✅ Quentin Grimes Over 13.5 Pts (-120)✅ Kon Knueppel Over 13.5 Pts
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Sep 10, 2024
The Only Data you need to Research Week 2 Prop Bets🧵 Below we have have everything you need from each team whether its: Route Participation (Per FantasyPts) Blitz Rate (Per NFLPro) Light Box (NFLPro) YBCo/Att & YACo/Att (NFLPro) Top 10 Man Coverage Rate (FantasyPts) And more!
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Jan 6, 2025
NBA Recap 1/5🧹🧹 Amen Thompson Over 22.5 PR (-128)✅ Alexandre Sarr Over 13.5 Pts (-110)✅ Isaiah Hartenstein Under 11.5 Reb (-120)✅ Goga Bitadze Over 10.5 Reb (-113)✅ Back to back sweeps. Needed it
JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Jan 5, 2025
NBA Recap 1/4🧹 Tyrese Maxey Under 3.5 3PM (-115)✅ Myles Turner Over 1.5 3PM (-115)✅ Malik Beasley Over 15.5 Pts (-110)✅ Needed it
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Sep 15, 2024
Deebo Samuel Over 4.5 Rec (-135 DK) Two high shell, you MUST FEED DEEBO! This man just played the Jets who played a ton of single high coverage and that is where Aiyuk typically dominates but he was up against an elite secondary, so he didn’t get many targets as he normally
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 3, 2025
Rushing Schemes to Target in Week 5 I put together each offenses main rushing scheme and paired it with their Week 5 matchup to see how advantageous it is in terms of YPC allowed per FantasyPoints data. If you like this and are curious about what player excel against a teams
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 3, 2024
Chris Godwin Over 64.5 Rec Yds (-113 FD) o Both the Falcons and the Buccaneers are top 10 in zone coverage rates but the coverage that stands out for both are Cover-3, which both is played at a top 5 rate. o Godwin has 2.81 YPRR vs Zone Coverage on 68 routes. o According to
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Sep 19, 2024
Breece Hall Over 4.5 Rec (+100 DK) Cover-2 RBs = 📈 Hall has 14 targets and a 35% TPRR through two games and gets to face a team that plays a high rate of Cover-2 that is well above league average. The Jets have a league high in percentage of targets to the backfield at 24.6%.
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 3, 2024
Drake London Over 61.5 Rec Yds (-113 FD) o Both the Falcons and the Buccaneers are top 10 in zone coverage rates but the coverage that stands out for both are Cover-3, which both is played at a top 5 rate. o Both teams have blitzed at top 10 rates but only one of these teams
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Sep 13, 2025
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 5.5 Receptions (-114 Draftkings) 1.14U #Seahawks vs #HereWeGo (Currently at -133 on DK but arguably one of my favorite plays of the slate) JSN just had an 9 reception, 13 target game in week 1 being fully involved in the offense as THAT GUY. This was
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 17, 2025
Rushing Schemes to Target in Week 7 Yall know the drill. Use as a starting point to research RB props or fantasy matchups.
JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 9, 2025
Rushing Schemes to Target in Week 6 Since many seem to enjoy this last week, I'm posting it here for this week's matchups. This is each offenses main scheme and paired it with their Week 6 matchup to see how advantageous it is in terms of YPC allowed per FantasyPoints data. Use
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JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 9, 2025
Rushing Schemes to Target in Week 6 Since many seem to enjoy this last week, I'm posting it here for this week's matchups. This is each offenses main scheme and paired it with their Week 6 matchup to see how advantageous it is in terms of YPC allowed per FantasyPoints data. Use
JSleeprStats
@JSleeprStats
Oct 8, 2025
Receiver Trends to help you make your bets🚨 So far, we have about 5 weeks' worth of data so we can get a picture of playing time, route share and target share. At this point in the season, we are seeing injuries pop up and this effects player usage. Below we can see an example
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