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Matthew Gross
3,284 posts
Matthew Gross
@HurricaneAddict
Fascinated by extreme weather and the extreme events that come with it. (Any fantasy hour maps posted are for entertainment & learning purposes, not forecasts.)
Westerly, Rhode Island
Joined June 2021
- 19 years ago this morning, the most spine tingling warning I've ever read from a NWS office was released from New Orleans.
- It's not what Florida wants to see, but the GFS ensembles are already barking at the possibility of another hurricane in the western Caribbean at the end of next week.
- Boy does the GFS have a twisted sense of humor. It wants to do this again in ten days!
- If the last three GFS runs are even close to being accurate, Tampa Bay is mere days away from receiving the worst hurricane strike anywhere in its history book. A potentially devastating and benchmark storm for a major metropolitan area!
- I have a sick feeling in my stomach today that I have not felt since the day before Katrina hit. The scene on the west coast of Florida will be appalling in 36 hours.
- The 12z GFS would be a total disaster with many places reeling from Helene getting clobbered again. A straight up diabolical model run straight from Satan's scrapbook!
GIF - Jesus Christ! The HWRF would be a complete catastrophe!
- The 0z GFS is a nightmare scenario for Tampa Bay! OMG!
- The new HAFS-A and HAFS-B hurricane models are out of their damn minds! They're each calling for a sub 900mb high end CAT 5 by Thursday morning! (888mb on the HAFS-B run). A truly catastrophic scenario if it verifies!!!
- The severity of what’s about to occur in Nova Scotia on Friday night cannot be overstated! A hybrid hurricane will result from the violent phasing of a sharp cutoff trough and major hurricane Fiona moving into the same waters well east of New England. (Here comes a thread)
- The GFS, GFS ensembles, Euro and Korean models all came together for one of the most aggressive Day 8 major hurricane signals you will ever see, and they did it on November freaking 12th! This is beyond unbelievable!
- Milton is moving faster right now than he has at any point in his journey, and it's right at the point he has the most northerly component in track. It's a race to see how much latitude it can gain before the feature from the west shoves him due east. However, in a weird twist,
- Something is off with the spaghetti track guidance. These plots include the latest runs of the GFS, Ukie and HWRF in the batch, all of which are much further north on their actual model runs. The latest runs of each are posted with the spaghetti plot below, and they don't add up.
