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GLJ Research, LLC
@GLJ_Research
Deep Value, Unique Ideas
NYC
Joined September 2019
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    $TSLA we raised our 2023E yr-end price objective to $73/shr, and are incrementally less bearish (i.e., we see -89.9% downside by yr-end 2023E vs. -92.4% downside before) ahead of Q2 results 🚗⚡️ @GordonJohnson19
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    We've been asked, by many recently, how we arrive at our yr-end 2023E PT of $23.44 (or -82.5% downside from today's closing price). So... here it is, as we've previously published. @GordonJohnson19 @GLJ_Research $TSLA
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    #TSLA #TSLAQ @SquawkCNBC @chamath Can someone point us to the data center where TSLA stores its millions of miles in real-world "data"?
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    "This is kind of crazy. $NIO is trading at a market cap of ~$98B, above VW. $NIO has sold 47,000 cars this year. VW is estimated to sell ~10M cars," says @GLJ_Research's Gordon Johnson. "You're talking about margins that are grossly negative ... we think people are being misled."
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    $TSLA $TSLAQ #TSLA #TSLAQ TSLA's China market share falls from 15.5% in July 2020 to 10.8% in August 2020; GM and BYD sold more cars than TSLA in August, moving TSLA's rank in China to 3rd place in August from 1st place July.
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    $TSLA $TSLAQ We see TSLA’s 1Q20 deliveries coming in around 76K, vs. the current Consensus est. of around 100K. And, we also believe TSLA is including items in its primarily illusionary $11.6bn in current liquidity (our opinion) that it does not have access to, to include:...
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    Some thoughts on a few of the TSLA mistruths that we continue to see peddled on major TV outlets by the "TSLA optimists”... $TSLA $TSLAQ
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    $TSLA $TSLAQ #TSLA #TSLAQ Ahead of TSLA's "battery day", we note these prior promises on batteries:
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    @SquawkCNBC @chamath $TSLA #TSLA When adjusting TSLA's free cash flow for the methodology used by Amazon (whom TSLA is often compared), it burned -$1.0bn in 2019 (vs. it reporting a +$1.1bn gain) and burned -$1.2bn in the first two quarters of 2020 (i.e., 2x worse than '19).
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    $TSLA For the month of November 2019, year-over-year growth for Tesla's Model 3, Model S, Model X, and total cars sold came in at -44%, -64%, -47%, and -46%, respectively. At risk of stating the obvious, sales of Tesla cars in its core market of the US are currently in...
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    @SquawkCNBC @chamath $TSLA #TSLA Is this what hypergrowth/10yr lead/strong demand looks like - (a) US sales peak in 4Q18 (despite 4 price cuts in '20), (b) EU market share & growth imploding (despite several price cuts), & (c) China sales stagnating despite 7 price cuts this yr?
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    $TSLA #SPX #SPX500 TSLA CFO – 7/22/20: “We don't manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute in a significant way to the future." "eventually this stream of regulatory credits will reduce.”