Fhantom (@FhantomBets) / X

Fhantom

2,128 posts

Fhantom

@FhantomBets

Full time gambler, part time winner Working on @HiveliveHQ

Joined November 2015

Pinned
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Dec 2, 2025
Prediction markets just leaked the entire Spotify Wrapped a day early. In October, prediction markets leaked the Nobel Peace Prize winner the night before the announcement. This month, the same trick leaked Spotify Wrapped’s top artists. Just like Nobel site, The Spotify
376K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Oct 12, 2025
*Speculating* how the Nobel Peace Prize winner was leaked: Last night I hosted a *difficult* interview with the alleged “insider” in the Nobel Peace Prize market on Polymarket. Despite an hour of questions, we were still stuck wondering how a trader or team could know Maria
435K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Nov 5, 2025
This is a broken man.
Bill Ackman
@BillAckman
Nov 5, 2025
.@ZohranKMamdani, congrats on the win. Now you have a big responsibility. If I can help NYC, just let me know what I can do.
358K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Oct 12, 2025
Tom Brady just brought up @Polymarket live on national TV 🤯 “Check the Polymarket, see what it says”
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Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Oct 23, 2025
I see @shayne_coplan locked in
271K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Jul 7, 2025
The most active @Polymarket dispute ever is almost wrapping up, but after over 750 evidence posts across 6 disputed proposals and countless more arguments lasting over a month, the result is still unclear to some bettors, not due to any genuine uncertainty, but because of an
73K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Sep 9, 2025
Today on Polymarket, a Middle East insider told on themselves:🧵 At 6am ET this morning, an Polymarket account bought up the “Israel strike Yemen today (Sep 9)” market, moving the odds from 13% to 78% on ~$20,000 in buys. Two hours later, Israel struck a Hamas target in Qatar.
39K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
May 11, 2020
#obamagate did 30,000 tweets just get deleted in 1 minute? I think they did. Don’t even know what’s going on but that’s suspicious
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Jul 19, 2025
2 tickets for me and my side chick. Thank you @Polymarket
39K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Nov 3, 2025
PredictionMarketTrader
@PredMTrader
Nov 2, 2025
What are "bonds" on Kalshi? Bonds are events typically priced in the range of 80-95% probability of occurring, when their fair value should be closer to 98%/99%. In my opinion, they are the most frequent mispricing that occurs on PMs since users naturally gravitate towards long
36K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Nov 13, 2025
19K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Oct 21, 2025
Months after insiders called GPT-5 release date a week early on Polymarket, they showed up again to trade on OpenAI's browser launch. Odds ripped ~30% to 60% in 48h, hit 90% overnight. Just now, the announcement dropped. Price moved before the news, same signature as August.
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28K
Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Oct 7, 2025
First one, then many. Congratulations to @Polymarket and @shayne_coplan on the milestone today, I began this edit last year and keep layering in each new headline. Until the next one🫡
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Fhantom
@FhantomBets
Sep 17, 2025
For years they’ve been at the top of the Polymarket leaderboards. This week, they go live for the first time. I’m interviewing legendary trader 50-Pence for their first ever public appearance. Friday, 5pm. X Space. Be there.
36K