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Sergey Radchenko
@DrRadchenko
Historian of the Cold War and after. Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor @KissingerCenter @SAISHopkins. Now on Substack profradchenko.substack.com
Washington, Bologna, Nanjing
Joined January 2014
Posts
  • Pinned
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    I will soon be starting a new academic project: a history of the war between Russia and Ukraine. I am to have the book published by 2032 (10th anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion).
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    Tucker claims we are "now far closer [to a nuclear war] than we were during the Cuban Missile Crisis." As a historian of the Cuban Missile Crisis, let me weigh in here.
    We’re back in Moscow. Here’s why.
    00:00
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    A new joke on the Russian internet. A man calls a radio programme: - Why are the Russian forces in Ukraine using the symbol "Z"? - The other half of the swastika has been stolen.
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    The Russian Duma has just adopted a new law, promising three years in prison for calls for sanctions against Russia. In which connection, let me reiterate my support for strongest sanctions against Russia in view of its continued aggression against Ukraine.
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    I really look forward to Russia's complete defeat in Ukraine. It won't come easy, and there is still an inherent risk of dangerous escalation, but there are also untold benefits, not least of course for Russia itself.
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    Apparently Kazakhstan and Vietnam stopped accepting Russia's MIR payment cards. Russia's pivot to the global south is going according to plan.
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    By the way, people who argue that I am an anti-Communist: I agree. Of course, I am an anti-Communist. I have first-hand experience of the USSR, which offered free-of-charge lifetime inoculation against Communism. No boosters required!
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    Still trying to wrap my head around the whole business of Nagorno-Karabakh. In 1999 NATO bombed the hell out of Yugoslavia for lesser sins. This time, no one seems to care. Even newspaper headlines have barely registered that anything is amiss. What are we looking at here?
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    Here's an interesting development. China (but also Armenia, Kazakhstan, and many others) vote "yes" to a UN General Assembly resolution (A77/L65) that terms Russian actions against Georgia and Ukraine as "aggression". Let's take a closer look at what this could possibly mean.
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    If Prigozhin’s outbursts (including what certainly appears like him calling Putin a d***head) pass without a consequence, we’ll know Putin is a spent force. You just can’t challenge the tsar like this and live. Either the tsar is no longer the tsar, or…
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    This war is obviously not going well for Putin. Consider Czechoslovakia in 1968: the invasion was largely unopposed, the Czechoslovak leader was arrested on the second day, flown to Moscow. The West just swallowed it. What we have today in Ukraine is playing out very differently.
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    Как российский гражданин, отмечу следующее: 1) Признаю и свою долю коллективной ответственности за развязанную путинским режимом кровавую бойню. 2) Надеюсь на скорое поражение России. 3) Приношу личные извинения украинским друзьям и коллегам за действия преступного режима.
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    The Russian Orthodox Church holds the 25th congress of the "Russian world." They adopt a policy document: patriarchia.ru/db/text/611618… [in Russian]. I nearly spilled my coffee reading it. About every sentence is pure gold, but the gist is this:
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    Hundreds of MGIMO students and faculty sign a letter protesting Russia's war in Ukraine. docs.google.com/document/d/1uA…. Mostly just young people who once imagined a diplomatic career. Respect.