user avatar
Eric Sayers
@DEricSayers
Nonresident Fellow at @AEIfdp and @PacificForum board member. Former @INDOPACOM, @SASCGOP. @RSIS_NTU and @WesternU.
Washington, DC
Joined January 2011
Posts
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    This is brazen stuff. Good on the Filipinos for filming so Beijing can’t deny. Key corners of Washington have paid close attention but the broader natsec community needs to wake up. I think it would surprise many to learn we have a collective security agreement with Manila.
    Replying to @TeamAFP
    The CCG launched a brutal assault on the AFP personnel aboard an AFP Rigid Hull Inflatable Boat (RHIB), aggressively ramming it and brandishing bladed and pointed weapons, explicitly threatening to harm AFP troops.
    00:00
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    After you hear all this whining about market access and freedom of speech from the PRC, this graphic is a helpful reminder.
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    The best decision Pelosi can make on her Taiwan stop is to visit the original Din Tai Fung. McCain wasn’t above it. In 2016 we grabbed Din Tai Fung to go after our 4 hour trip to Taipei. Ate it on the way to Tokyo.
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    The USG should join Japan, ROK, EU and others and call for an independent investigation on how this all began. Nothing to hide. If China is interested in the truth they will take part and open their doors. Let’s not spend the next decade entertaining conspiracy and propaganda.
    More evidence suggests that the virus was not originated at the seafood market in Wuhan at all, not to mention the so called “made in China”.
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    We need to stop “we do this too” equating. The US does air and maritime collection outside of China’s airspace and territorial waters. This balloon is in US airspace and over the continental United States. It is markedly different and a provocation.
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    In the trash where it belongs.
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    Germany overhauling their defense policy/budget. Abe raising the idea of a nuclear sharing agreement w/ Japan and pushing the US to overhaul Taiwan policy. The war in Ukraine has opened new policy doors that weren’t there 4 days ago and Moscow/Beijing should be very concerned.
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    We are simultaneously asking Japan to strike a deal with us on semiconductor export controls to address the China tech threat while the Biden administration concludes that it’s an unmitigatable natsec issue for a Japanese company to invest in America. 🤷‍♂️
    Joe Biden set to block Nippon Steel’s takeover of US Steel ft.com/content/b84272… via @ft
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    Difficult read. Plenty of opportunities for Obama to raise concern/cost with Beijing in winter 2014-15 and throughout 2015. They avoided, studied, waited and did nothing. Different period in US-PRC relations but still stunning how little was done.
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    This popular narrative that the US has “rushed” into competition w/ China w/o debate is false. If anything, the optimistic policy approach towards PRC carried on 5-10 years longer than it should have and now we are entering an overdue period of reorientation.
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    If the virus originated in almost any other country a transparent investigation to understand and learn from what happened would be noncontroversial. With the PRC, you press for an investigation and you get a government-backed boycott. wsj.com/articles/china… via @WSJ
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    If you’re making excuses to keep TikTok PRC owned but desperate to signal you are still tough on China by citing other issues you claim are more critical….you’re soft on China.
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    You can’t overstate this. We’ve been telling ourselves conventional warfare will be hybrid or gray for 15 years. Clausewitzian warfare no longer was politically palatable. This shocks my mental map of what the scope of possibilities are.
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    Providing Ukraine the equipment it needs to defend against Russia is not only the right thing for US foreign policy, it's the right thing for an agenda that seeks to prioritize Asia/China. A Moscow degraded at a relatively low cost is a net-positive for our 2020s China agenda.