We're happy to announce three new hires, marking the end of a very successful recruiting year. Join us in welcoming Ying Gao, Charlie Rafkin (@CharlieRafkin), and Miguel Ortiz (@mortiz217 ) to Vancouver, and to UBC! Article: econ.cms.arts.ubc.ca/?p=32068
Charlie Rafkin
265 posts
- My paper on how changing government guidance affects the public’s beliefs — joint with @AdvikSh and @plvautrey — is now up on the @JPubEcon website! This is my first publication (!), and I am excited to share a little about it (1/N) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
- Earliest documented instance of econ hating… absolutely wrecked by Proudhon in 1840
- A charity scales up a development intervention, conducts rigorous testing, finds a null result, and then pulls back. Of course disappointing that this particular program didn't work, but this is exactly how policy should be doneToday, we’re proud to share an in-depth piece about why we #TestAtScale as an essential part of our #Beta process that takes #evidence-based interventions & incubates them for #scale to cost-effectively ↓ burden of #poverty for millions. bit.ly/2S3zogP
- Mortality trends are catastrophic for people without a high school degree In our new AEJ: Applied paper, @thesamasher @paulnovosad and I show that selection alone is not responsible (using some nifty new tools)A 🧵 on our work on US mortality change, just out in AEJ:App, with @thesamasher and @charlierafkin. We ask: how concentrated is the U.S. pre-Covid mortality crisis? Is everyone doing a little worse, or is a small subset doing catastrophically worse? The graph is a spoiler 1/N
- Sharing some simple Javascript code embeds that can improve Qualtrics surveys for econ/social science research (+ if you have similar hacks, I'd love to see them!) github.com/crafkin/simple…
- Sam, Paul and I have a new working paper on intergenerational mobility in India. We find evidence of very low (and declining) Muslim upward mobility in India — a stark contrast with mobility trends for India's other major demographics: dartmouth.edu/~novosad/anr-i…
- During a global crisis, it is nice to have some constants to rely on. Gives a sense of normalcy e.g.: credulous coverage of correlational health studies as causal 🙃😩
- Nothing to see here, totally normal democracy we have goingI will give $1,000/mo for the next 12 months FREE to someone who retweets this and follows me by July 4th 😃 Let's show why money is the answer & why this is the campaign for people. No purchase necessary. US citizens only. yang2020.com/rules
- What is the German compound word for "feeling surprised, alarmed, and somewhat sad that I did not know this very basic fact about a computer programming language that I have used full time for several years" 😱Important PSA: @Stata supports multiple missing values (not just “.” but also e.g., “.a”). Using “!=.” as a test for nonmissing values is NOT robust and is asking for trouble! (Using the popular “<.” is even worse.) PLEASE always use “~missing(•)” (even in joke tweets 😉)
- Replying to @saloniumOne flag is that the indirect effect on dementia is larger than the direct effect on shingles (at least in pp). My guess (based on v little tbf!) is that biologically plausible “passthrough” could be no larger than 1 in 5, but the study is not powered to detect effects that small
- Replying to @Longreadsthanks to @Longreads for featuring my article on Upper Valley poverty. let's start this conversation in Hanover. lgrd.co/1jmTr1m
- Can both be true that: a. The polls were very bad, at least in some states. WI and MI polls had larger errors than '16 (even if they ultimately called the winner correctly) b. Polls are a better way of aggregating public opinion than the alternative (cringey diner interviews)










