π¨ State Legislative Chamber Rating Change π¨
We are getting rid of our final Toss-Up in our forecasts:
TX House | Toss-Up β Tilt D (FLIP)
D Maj. 50%
R Maj. 44.4%
Tie 5.6%
See our nationwide state legislative forecast:
cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦
CNalysis
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Your go-to source for nonpartisan state legislative election forecasts and analysis across the country 2020-2024.
For 2025 onward, check out @StateNavigate!
- π¨ TX House Rating Changes π¨ After reviewing final TEC filings, we have 17 rating changes in the TX House, all favoring Democrats. As a result of these changes (below)... TX House | Tilt R β Toss-Up 48.2% R Majority 5.7% Tie 46.1% D Majority cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦
- π¨ Iowa House Rating Changes π¨ After reviewing the final campaign finance reports in IA, we have 12 rating changes in the House, most favoring D's. As a result of these changes, we are also changing the rating for the chamber. IA House | Toss-Up β Tilt D (FLIP)
- We have moved the Arizona House of Representatives from Toss-Up to Tilt D. We will write about why this is in our October 6th update piece. Democrats are now favored to flip 2 state legislative chambers: the MN Senate and AZ House. Republicans are favored to flip 0.
- π¨ MI House Rating Changes π¨ After reviewing the final campaign finance reports, we are making 13 changes in the chamber, most favoring D's. As a result of these changes: MI House | Toss-Up β Tilt D 51.9% D majority 10.0% Tie 38.1% R majority cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦
- π¨ Chamber Rating Change π¨ The AZ State Senate has moved from Toss-Up to Tilt D in our ratings. Upon reexamination, we moved SD-17 from Tilt R to Toss-Up, which caused the odds of either a D majority or a tie to go up to a total of 55.3%. cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦
- π¨ KS Rating Changes π¨ We have a whopping 15 rating changes in KS between the State Senate and State House, most favor Democrats. As a result of this, Democrats are favored to break both Republican supermajorities in the chambers. cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦
- π¨ State Legislative Chamber Rating Change π¨ Texas House of Representatives | Lean R β Tilt R GOP Majority | 63.6% Tie | 5.6% DEM Majority | 30.8% cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦π¨ TX House Rating Changes π¨ We've just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in TX. As a result, we have 7 rating changes in the TX House, all toward Democrats.
- As a result of this rating change, the WV State Senate has been moved from Likely R to Lean R.WV SD-02 has been moved from Lean R to Toss-Up as a result of this news.
- π¨ WY Rating Changes π¨ We only have one state legislative rating change after viewing campaign finance reports in WY... WY HD-55 | Toss-Up β Tilt Libertarian cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020β¦
- We have moved PA HD-10 from Lean R to Tilt D. We initially moved this seat from Safe R to Lean R when incumbent Aaron Bernstine (R) posted videos on his Snapchat story of him giving his 5-year-old son a cigar to smoke. Thread.
- π¨ TX House Rating Changes π¨ We've just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in TX. As a result, we have 7 rating changes in the TX House, all toward Democrats.
- Republicans have flipped the New Hampshire State Senate cnalysis.com/maps/2020-statβ¦


























