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CNalysis
@CNalysis
Your go-to source for nonpartisan state legislative election forecasts and analysis across the country 2020-2024. For 2025 onward, check out @StateNavigate!
Virginia, USA
Joined February 2020
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    🚨 State Legislative Chamber Rating Change 🚨 We are getting rid of our final Toss-Up in our forecasts: TX House | Toss-Up β†’ Tilt D (FLIP) D Maj. 50% R Maj. 44.4% Tie 5.6% See our nationwide state legislative forecast: cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
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    🚨 TX House Rating Changes 🚨 After reviewing final TEC filings, we have 17 rating changes in the TX House, all favoring Democrats. As a result of these changes (below)... TX House | Tilt R β†’ Toss-Up 48.2% R Majority 5.7% Tie 46.1% D Majority cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
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    🚨 Iowa House Rating Changes 🚨 After reviewing the final campaign finance reports in IA, we have 12 rating changes in the House, most favoring D's. As a result of these changes, we are also changing the rating for the chamber. IA House | Toss-Up β†’ Tilt D (FLIP)
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    We have moved the Arizona House of Representatives from Toss-Up to Tilt D. We will write about why this is in our October 6th update piece. Democrats are now favored to flip 2 state legislative chambers: the MN Senate and AZ House. Republicans are favored to flip 0.
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    🚨 MI House Rating Changes 🚨 After reviewing the final campaign finance reports, we are making 13 changes in the chamber, most favoring D's. As a result of these changes: MI House | Toss-Up β†’ Tilt D 51.9% D majority 10.0% Tie 38.1% R majority cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
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    🚨 Chamber Rating Change 🚨 The AZ State Senate has moved from Toss-Up to Tilt D in our ratings. Upon reexamination, we moved SD-17 from Tilt R to Toss-Up, which caused the odds of either a D majority or a tie to go up to a total of 55.3%. cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
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    🚨 KS Rating Changes 🚨 We have a whopping 15 rating changes in KS between the State Senate and State House, most favor Democrats. As a result of this, Democrats are favored to break both Republican supermajorities in the chambers. cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
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    🚨 State Legislative Chamber Rating Change 🚨 Texas House of Representatives | Lean R β†’ Tilt R GOP Majority | 63.6% Tie | 5.6% DEM Majority | 30.8% cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
    🚨 TX House Rating Changes 🚨 We've just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in TX. As a result, we have 7 rating changes in the TX House, all toward Democrats.
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    As a result of this rating change, the WV State Senate has been moved from Likely R to Lean R.
    WV SD-02 has been moved from Lean R to Toss-Up as a result of this news.
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    🚨 WY Rating Changes 🚨 We only have one state legislative rating change after viewing campaign finance reports in WY... WY HD-55 | Toss-Up β†’ Tilt Libertarian cnalysis.com/forecasts/2020…
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    We have moved PA HD-10 from Lean R to Tilt D. We initially moved this seat from Safe R to Lean R when incumbent Aaron Bernstine (R) posted videos on his Snapchat story of him giving his 5-year-old son a cigar to smoke. Thread.
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    🚨 TX House Rating Changes 🚨 We've just finished going through recent campaign finance reports in TX. As a result, we have 7 rating changes in the TX House, all toward Democrats.
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    Republicans have flipped the New Hampshire State Senate cnalysis.com/maps/2020-stat…