Understand the future before it forces your hand.
Hinsley unites AI and human judgment to apply a disciplined approach to modeling alternative futures, identifying the forces that determine which future will unfold, and tracking how the outlook is shifting. What once took months now takes minutes and persists as a living sensemaking system.
Tap the collective intelligence of your community to generate new insights, reduce risk, and gain competitive advantage.
Simplify the process of quantifying and analyzing human perspectives about the future with your employees, partners, or the public, to make better decisions and challenge conventional thinking. Available as self-hosted or cloud-based solution.
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Used by: National security and diplomatic government agencies • think tanks • biopharmaceuticals • energy companies • public and private financial institutions
Read about our project with the UK Government
“Crowd forecasting provided an important non-expert counterbalance that boosted our confidence in key judgments.”
Featured Insights
Announcing A New Service: Issue Decomposition Workshop
CEO Adam Siegel introduces a new service offering “issue decomposition” workshops - a new way of methodically understanding how the future will impact your most important decisions and policies.
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Case Study: U.S. Government Uses Decomposition To Understand A Future Policy Issue
How the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy paired issue decomposition with crowdsourced forecasting to understand the future impact of a national security issue and craft better policy.
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Prompting Action To Address "Gray Rhinos" Using Crowdsourced Forecasting
In a meeting in DC with a group responsible for thinking about how the U.S. Intelligence Community can improve their mission, CEO Adam Siegel was asked how crowdsourced forecasting could help mitigate “gray rhinos” - impactful events everyone knows are coming but are not acted upon.
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