Here is an underdeveloped thought:
Humility) Whatever the ultimate nature of everything is at the deepest possible level (if that even makes sense), it’s probably not what you were thinking. You are probably wrong.
Ok, as a statement of intellectual humility, it’s not that interesting I guess. But let’s push it a little bit further.
It’s a simple anthropological observation that people tend to project ideas onto this existential canvas that are ‘parochial’. That is, people tend to project things about their local experience and blow them up to metaphysical importance. A classic example of this would be how typical it is in times of war for religious authorities to assure the army that God is on their side, or even that the war itself will decide something of cosmic significance. What this is doing is saying that God, the deepest metaphysical explanation for absolutely everything there is, is interested in how you do on a particular day in a fight.
Here is another example. Maybe you think that the deepest level of reality happens to be mental (maybe you think God is a mind, or maybe you are an idealist, etc). Assuming you take yourself to (at least partly) be a mind, this means you are saying that the deepest level of reality happens to be just like you.
Here’s another example. Suppose you are not a nihilist about value, but you think (as many atheists do), that values are all in the head, specifically in the heads of humans. This again puts us at the centre of things, assuming that there’s no more to value than how it relates to us. This is (perhaps) another form of parochialism.
What’s the significance of this? Well, what it does (I think) is establish a mild sort of epistemic tilt away from such ideas. Sure, maybe the deepest level of reality happens to care a lot about how your tribe does in a given conflict, but it seems quite unlikely. After all, there are limitless possibilities. Maybe there is nobody out there at all (atheism), or maybe there is a god but he doesn’t care about humans at all, or maybe something I can’t even begin to imagine. It’s impossible to quantify. But it starts to seem like a coincidence if it happened to be parochial.
Perhaps the best way to think about it is like Hume’s argument about miracles. I can think of lots of parochial (human-centred) reasons why people might claim that, for instance, god is on our side in a battle. Maybe it makes me feel more confident. Maybe it makes me more prepared to kill my fellow man if I feel I have cosmic permission, etc. But those sorts of considerations are patently not truth tracking. How many times in history did the priestly caste announce before a battle that after doing rigorous checking that god actually was on the other side? I’m guessing not often. And that goes for both sides of every battle.
So we have reason to think that people have a tendency to project parochial things, and that this tendency isn’t epistemically well grounded. This mirrors Hume’s observation that people have many diverse reasons for claiming to have witnessed miracles, including simply lying or otherwise being mistaken. And that this tilts our expectations away from their claims. We have a starting point of scepticism towards them.
The tilt that parochialism induces could be overcome. It’s not decisive. Just because people tend to project a protective all powerful backer when they go off to war doesn’t mean that on this occasion right now that he isn’t on our side. But what it does is mean it’s reasonable to raise an eyebrow if that’s what you are being told on the eve of war. ‘Of course that’s what they are saying. That’s what they always say,’ etc.
As I said at the start, this is an underdeveloped thought. But it rings true with me. One of the reasons I don’t believe in Christianity, or anything like that, is that it seems to be exactly the sort of thing I would expect people to project. It’s parochial. Of course you want there to be a super powerful protector out there that agrees with your specific political and social views and has your interests at heart. Who wouldn’t want that? But we shouldn’t promote that above other, less psychologically appealing, or just less familiar sounding, possibilities.
Here is just one very sketchy application of the idea. Take the fine tuning argument. As Standardly presented, it argues that the fine tuning of the constants of nature strongly favours theism over atheism. Seeing this through the lens of my parochial analysis, I want to say that the right conclusion is that the evidence strongly favours ‘non-randomness’ about those constants over ‘randomness’. Something is making the constants take those values, rather than it just being pure chance. But that leaves open so many possibilities. A benevolent god is one of them. But so is a god who is interested in something other than us. Maybe we are an otherwise uninteresting side product of this universe, which is actually fine tuned for some other reason. Maybe there is some naturalistic disposition (for lack of a better word) that is the reason they take those values. Maybe it’s something non-random that I can’t imagine.
it’s only unchecked (rampant!) parochialism that would lead you to think that the FTA is an argument for anything like us, or like the sort of thing we tend to project for social or psychological (etc) reasons.
So this parochial analysis is a fruitful new lens to revisit some familiar territory through.
I’m still thinking it all through, so feel free to tell me if I’m being thick somehow. I usually am.