Read the new report from @The_Budget_Lab that scores the budgetary effects of the May 2025 Tax Bill.
The Budget Lab
577 posts
The Budget Lab is a non-partisan policy research center dedicated to providing in-depth analysis of federal proposals for the American economy.
Joined March 2024
- A 25 percent tariff on all Canadian and Mexican imported goods — paired with a 10 percent tariff on all Chinese imports — would lead to a permanent 0.8 percent bump in the price level, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index. That translates toThe World Economy Awaits Trump’s First Round of Tariffs w/ @AnaSwanson@colbyLsmith nytimes.com/2025/01/31/bus… via @NYTimes
- “The labour market doesn’t feel great, so it feels correct that AI is taking people’s jobs. But we’ve looked at this many, many different ways, and we really cannot find any sign that this is happening,” said @The_Budget_Lab's @marthagimbel in today's @FT piece "AI is not
- The Budget Lab at Yale has launched! Our non-partisan policy research center will provide in-depth analysis for federal policy proposals impacting the American economy. The Budget Lab aims to fill a critical gap in policy evaluation. Read more:
- Join us Tuesday, September 30 at noon EDT for the next @The_Budget_Lab webinar, "Tariffs in an Uncertain Legal Environment. Register here: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regist… @AnaSwanson @nytimes will moderate a timely discussion with @petereharrell @CarnegieEndow, @scottlincicome
- Today in @jacobbogage's Early Brief @washingtonpost. "The team at the @The_Budget_Lab ran the analysis on what the tax cuts and new spending in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act plus the effect of Trump's tariffs would mean for Americans' personal economic fortunes."
- Post Next 50! Thrilled for @The_Budget_Lab's @NatashaRSarin named by @washingtonpost as part of the first-ever Post Next 50, a list of people whose work will shape our society. wapo.st/NatashaSarin
- Join @The_Budget_Lab and @NiskanenCenter for a webinar on July 23 at 3pm ET: Economic consequences of weak governance and policy instability. @KateDavidson @Bloomberg will moderate a discussion with @dolanecon,@MichaelRStrain @AEI, @ernietedeschi RSVP: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
- Join @The_Budget_Lab for a webinar on Thursday, February 27 at noon EST to discuss TCJA. @Neil_Irwin @axios will moderate a discussion with @NatashaRSarin, @George_A_Callas @Arnold_Ventures, and @Brendan_Duke @amprog. RSVP: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
- “For the typical American household, the tariffs will mean a loss of about $1,200 in purchasing power, according to the Budget Lab at Yale University, a nonpartisan research center.”
- "We are currently seeing an economy that may or may not be at a turning point, particularly for the labor market,” said @marthagimbel @The_Budget_Lab. "Such turning points are always difficult to recognize in real time, which makes it even more important to have as much
- Tonight. 6pm ET. PBS @NewsHour will air an interview with @The_Budget_Lab's Director of Economics @ErnieTedeschi on the "No Tax on Tips" proposals by both presidential candidates. If you miss it, you can watch online at pbs.org/newshour.
- Replying to @The_Budget_LabKey takeaways from the report that analyzes the legislation under consideration by the House Ways and Means Committee as part of the reconciliation process: 1.) As written, the tax bill under consideration by the House would add $3.4 trillion to the debt over the 2025-2034
- Tomorrow. LIVE 7am ET. @ernietedeschi will be talking with @NPR @NPRinskeep about @the_budget_lab's estimates of the economic and fiscal effects of the Trump tariffs.









