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Mitigate, deter, escalate: Europe’s options against US economic coercion
- Agathe Demarais, Tobias Gehrke, José Ignacio Torreblanca
- Policy Brief
The US under Trump will seek new ways to coerce Europe economically. Here is how Europeans can resist the pressure and emerge stronger for it
Home alone: Europeans are ready to defend themselves
- Jana Kobzová, Paweł Zerka
- Policy Brief
A major ECFR poll finds the European public, in a time of rupture, thinking differently and questioning old assumptions. It reveals new political space available to their leaders (for now) and challenges them to use it
If Bardella wins: Scenarios for a far-right presidency in France
- Célia Belin, Jeremy Cliffe, Camille Lons, Constance Victor
- Policy Brief
Jordan Bardella is the frontrunner in the French presidential election next year. His win would transform France’s place in Europe. This scenario shows how
The new climate battle: Five deals to recharge the green transition
- Piotr Buras, Jeremy Cliffe, Susi Dennison
- Policy Brief
As climate policy becomes increasingly contested, Europe must adapt its Green Deal to a new political era. The first policy brief in the New Politics project outlines five new deals to make the transition more durable, popular and politically resilient
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Annual Council Meeting 2026
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Recent events
2026 Republic of Korea (ROK)–G7 cooperation forum
- · ECFR Paris
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
The age of hyperpolitics
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
- Surviving chaos
Mark Leonard welcomes Anton Jäger to discuss why political engagement is surging across Western democracies
ECFR on air
Moldova: The EU frontrunner outrunning Russia
- Podcast
- ECFR on air
- The Neighbourhood
Jessica Hendrick is joined by Dumitru Alaiba and Maia Machavariani to explore why Moldova is one of Europe’s most closely watched test cases—and what the country’s latest developments reveal about its political direction
Views from the Council
Hungarian thaw, Slovak freeze: How the post-Orban era could chill relations on the Danube
- Tomáš Valášek
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
The alliance between Viktor Orban and Robert Fico long kept Slovak-Hungarian tensions buried. But with Peter Magyar’s rise in Hungary and economic trouble at home, Fico may turn to anti-Hungarian nationalism in his re-election campaign
This is how to defeat Vladimir Putin
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
The Russian dictator’s dreams of greatness threaten NATO and the EU, not just Ukraine. Here are eight ways in which he can be thwarted
In the Media - Council
Jonathan Nelson and Alejandro Romero on Europe’s unpreparedness for cognitive warfare and the three moves needed to respond to Russia and China
Carl Bildt on Trump administration, tariffs, military strategies, wars in Ukraine and Middle East
Interview with Patrycja Sasnal on the war in Iran
Featured and flagship projects
The Data Collection
Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.
Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump
- Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Paweł Zerka
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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Combat lessons: What Europeans should learn from Ukraine
- Nick Witney
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Buying new kit is easy. The real challenge for European militaries is to rethink how they organise themselves—and how they plan to fight
Hungarian thaw, Slovak freeze: How the post-Orban era could chill relations on the Danube
- Tomáš Valášek
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
The alliance between Viktor Orban and Robert Fico long kept Slovak-Hungarian tensions buried. But with Peter Magyar’s rise in Hungary and economic trouble at home, Fico may turn to anti-Hungarian nationalism in his re-election campaign
Why half-measures won’t solve Europe’s data-centre energy crisis
- Mats Engström
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Demand for electricity and grid access is surging as AI and data centres expand. European policymakers must urgently set energy-performance standards and keep their low-carbon transition goals on track
Making defence European again
- Rafael Loss, Marta Prochwicz Jazowska, Jana Puglierin
- Policy Brief
The Russian threat is not going away any time soon. To defend themselves without America’s help, Europeans need to pursue a new, distinctly European model of defence and deterrence
Code, clouds, satellite: The defence layer Europe should not outsource
- Ángel Melguizo, Víctor Muñoz
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
As Europe rearms, the real vulnerability is not on tanks or missiles but the software and networks behind them. The union can import weapons. It cannot afford to outsource the digital systems that make modern military power possible
Electric collective: Europe’s clean energy future without Russia
- Szymon Kardaś
- Policy Brief
The EU and member states must agree a high-level energy diplomacy framework and complete the phase-out of Russian fossil fuels
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
ECFR polls on European attitudes towards Donald Trump’s policies
ECFR polls on EU enlargement to Ukraine
ECFR poll: European’s trust in the US at record low
ECFR Polls see a decrease in Europeans’ trust in the USA
Jana Kobzova and Pawel Zerka on the results of ECFR’s latest polling round
Jana Kobzova and Pawel Zerka on the results of ECFR’s latest polling round
More on Africa
The ammonia age: How Europe and Africa can steer global shipping to net zero
- Sarah Logan
- Policy Brief
The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework is critical for EU competitiveness and the clearest path to decarbonise shipping. African backing may prove decisive as American and Gulf pressure stalls progress
Lost in processing: Why ‘Made in Europe’ needs an Africa strategy
- Sarah Logan, Maddalena Procopio
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Europe, Mauritania and the Gulf states: Securing stability and growth in the Sahel
- Corrado Čok
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
More on Asia
Borrowed mouths and laundered messages: China’s influence playbook in Europe
- Alicja Bachulska, Ivana Karásková, Konrad Szatters
- Policy Brief
Chinese foreign manipulation and interference are rising in Europe. Five techniques feature in Beijing’s playbook, communicating messages about China’s place in the world and support for Russian positions.
Trump in Beijing: Why the game stays the same for Europe
- Andrew Small
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Power couple: How South Korea fits in Europe’s battery strategy
- Alexander Lipke, Jihye Yoo
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on European Power
Beijing hold’em: European cards against Chinese coercion
- Tobias Gehrke, with Nina Schmelzer
- Policy Brief
Europe has a China problem and pretending otherwise is making it worse. Chinese cheap exports and a monopoly on rare earths are not just economic irritants, but leverage wielded deliberately. Europeans can no longer just de-risk. They need a deterrence strategy with teeth
How China’s silent coercion has Europe sanctioning itself
- Tobias Gehrke
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
Magyar’s mandate: Six insights from a post-election Hungary
- Piotr Buras, Paweł Zerka
- Commentary
- 7 minute read
More on European Security
Fast energy: How Europe can power the AI revolution and stay competitive
- Nicu Popescu, Alan Riley
- Policy Brief
Europeans must urgently implement a “fast energy” programme to speed up access to energy to power AI—and remain competitive in the world
The battle for the mind: How Europe can stay safe in the cognitive threat era
- Jonathan Nelson, Alejandro Romero
- Commentary
- 6 minute read
Romania’s government collapse is a trap with no easy exit
- Oana Popescu-Zamfir
- Article
- 2 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Iran nuclear monitor: Month by month
- Ellie Geranmayeh
- Special
America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran’s path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely
Rescuing the Gaza ceasefire: What to do with Hamas’s weapons
- Muhammad Shehada
- Commentary
- 8 minute read
Bypassing the straits: The India-Middle East-Europe corridor needs a wartime redesign
- Cinzia Bianco, Arturo Varvelli
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on United States
One battle after another: Factional struggles and the making of Trump’s foreign policy
- Majda Ruge
- Policy Brief
Trump’s foreign and security policy is the product of factional competition in the White House and a president fixated on short-term wins. Here’s how Europeans should come to terms with this new reality
As the US midterms loom, the Republican choice is surrender—or lose
- Chris Herrmann, Nevada Joan Lee
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
The art of the off-ramp: How Europe can pressure Trump to end the war in Iran
- Jeremy Shapiro
- Commentary
- 2 minute read