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Highlights

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Iran nuclear monthly monitor June update available

Latest

551707871

Combat lessons: What Europeans should learn from Ukraine

  • Nick Witney
Slovakia Penal Code

Hungarian thaw, Slovak freeze: How the post-Orban era could chill relations on the Danube

  • Tomáš Valášek

Featured

Copy of Mitigate Deter Escalate

Mitigate, deter, escalate: Europe’s options against US economic coercion

  • Agathe Demarais, Tobias Gehrke, José Ignacio Torreblanca
  • Policy Brief

The US under Trump will seek new ways to coerce Europe economically. Here is how Europeans can resist the pressure and emerge stronger for it

HomeAlone eurohouse cap

Home alone: Europeans are ready to defend themselves

  • Jana Kobzová, Paweł Zerka
  • Policy Brief

A major ECFR poll finds the European public, in a time of rupture, thinking differently and questioning old assumptions. It reveals new political space available to their leaders (for now) and challenges them to use it

1

If Bardella wins: Scenarios for a far-right presidency in France

  • Célia Belin, Jeremy Cliffe, Camille Lons, Constance Victor
  • Policy Brief

Jordan Bardella is the frontrunner in the French presidential election next year. His win would transform France’s place in Europe. This scenario shows how

FiveDealsRecharge

The new climate battle: Five deals to recharge the green transition

  • Piotr Buras, Jeremy Cliffe, Susi Dennison
  • Policy Brief

As climate policy becomes increasingly contested, Europe must adapt its Green Deal to a new political era. The first policy brief in the New Politics project outlines five new deals to make the transition more durable, popular and politically resilient

Upcoming events

17 Jun

Annual Council Meeting 2026

  • 17 June 2026 · ECFR Berlin

Recent events

8 Jun

The Art of the Deal: European Green Policy in Trumpian Times

  • 8 June 2026
3 Jun

2026 Republic of Korea (ROK)–G7 cooperation forum

  • 3 June 2026 · ECFR Paris

Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Surviving Chaos Cover

The age of hyperpolitics

  • Podcast
  • Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
  • Surviving chaos

Mark Leonard welcomes Anton Jäger to discuss why political engagement is surging across Western democracies

Listen

ECFR on air

Photo 2025 12 trust anger and the limits of eu democracy promotion

Moldova: The EU frontrunner outrunning Russia

  • Podcast
  • ECFR on air
  • The Neighbourhood

Jessica Hendrick is joined by Dumitru Alaiba and Maia Machavariani to explore why Moldova is one of Europe’s most closely watched test cases—and what the country’s latest developments reveal about its political direction

Listen

Views from the Council

Slovakia Penal Code

Hungarian thaw, Slovak freeze: How the post-Orban era could chill relations on the Danube

  • Tomáš Valášek
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

The alliance between Viktor Orban and Robert Fico long kept Slovak-Hungarian tensions buried. But with Peter Magyar’s rise in Hungary and economic trouble at home, Fico may turn to anti-Hungarian nationalism in his re-election campaign

595918088

This is how to defeat Vladimir Putin

  • Timothy Garton Ash
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

The Russian dictator’s dreams of greatness threaten NATO and the EU, not just Ukraine. Here are eight ways in which he can be thwarted

In the Media - Council

Timothy Garton Ash
The Guardian 23 May 2026

Timothy Garton Ash on how to defeat Vladimir Putin

Formiche 22 May 2026

Jonathan Nelson and Alejandro Romero on Europe’s unpreparedness for cognitive warfare and the three moves needed to respond to Russia and China

Carl Bildt
Rai Radio 1 5 May 2026

Carl Bildt on Trump administration, tariffs, military strategies, wars in Ukraine and Middle East    

Gazeta Wyborcza 3 May 2026

Interview with Patrycja Sasnal on the war in Iran

Featured and flagship projects

The Data Collection

Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.

Featured
Trump Shadow 2

Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump

  • Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Paweł Zerka

Re:Engage

This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.

Featured
EU Flags hanging from the queue barriers during the Open Doors Day

The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood

  • Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx

Re:Order

Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.

Featured
Green transition world order

The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage

  • Alberto Rizzi

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Latest

551707871

Combat lessons: What Europeans should learn from Ukraine

  • Nick Witney
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Buying new kit is easy. The real challenge for European militaries is to rethink how they organise themselves—and how they plan to fight

Slovakia Penal Code

Hungarian thaw, Slovak freeze: How the post-Orban era could chill relations on the Danube

  • Tomáš Valášek
  • Commentary
  • View from the Council
  • 4 minute read

The alliance between Viktor Orban and Robert Fico long kept Slovak-Hungarian tensions buried. But with Peter Magyar’s rise in Hungary and economic trouble at home, Fico may turn to anti-Hungarian nationalism in his re-election campaign

Policy alert
Aerial view of the Google Data Center and wind turbines surrounded by green fields and coastal waters in Eemshaven, Groningen, Netherlands.

Why half-measures won’t solve Europe’s data-centre energy crisis

  • Mats Engström
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

Demand for electricity and grid access is surging as AI and data centres expand. European policymakers must urgently set energy-performance standards and keep their low-carbon transition goals on track

European defence paper graphic

Making defence European again

  • Rafael Loss, Marta Prochwicz Jazowska, Jana Puglierin
  • Policy Brief

The Russian threat is not going away any time soon. To defend themselves without America’s help, Europeans need to pursue a new, distinctly European model of defence and deterrence

Police officer with jammer

Code, clouds, satellite: The defence layer Europe should not outsource

  • Ángel Melguizo, Víctor Muñoz
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

As Europe rearms, the real vulnerability is not on tanks or missiles but the software and networks behind them. The union can import weapons. It cannot afford to outsource the digital systems that make modern military power possible

Aerial view of floating photovoltaic system with rows of solar panels on white floats over calm water during golden hour Bensheim, Hessen, Germany.

Electric collective: Europe’s clean energy future without Russia

  • Szymon Kardaś
  • Policy Brief

The EU and member states must agree a high-level energy diplomacy framework and complete the phase-out of Russian fossil fuels

In the media

Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.

All our experts Newsroom
Rzeczpospolita 11 June 2026

ECFR polls on European attitudes towards Donald Trump’s policies

Rzeczpospolita 11 June 2026

ECFR polls on EU enlargement to Ukraine

TVN 24 10 June 2026

ECFR poll: European’s trust in the US at record low

Gazeta Wyborcza 10 June 2026

ECFR Polls see a decrease in Europeans’ trust in the USA

Die Zeit 10 June 2026

Jana Kobzova and Pawel Zerka on the results of ECFR’s latest polling round

Berlingske 10 June 2026

Jana Kobzova and Pawel Zerka on the results of ECFR’s latest polling round

More on Africa

Hafen Rotterdam

The ammonia age: How Europe and Africa can steer global shipping to net zero

  • Sarah Logan
  • Policy Brief

The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework is critical for EU competitiveness and the clearest path to decarbonise shipping. African backing may prove decisive as American and Gulf pressure stalls progress


Lost in processing: Why ‘Made in Europe’ needs an Africa strategy

  • Sarah Logan, Maddalena Procopio
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Europe, Mauritania and the Gulf states: Securing stability and growth in the Sahel

  • Corrado Čok
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

More on Asia

Binaercode und China Flagge auf Putzwand

Borrowed mouths and laundered messages: China’s influence playbook in Europe

  • Alicja Bachulska, Ivana Karásková, Konrad Szatters
  • Policy Brief

Chinese foreign manipulation and interference are rising in Europe. Five techniques feature in Beijing’s playbook, communicating messages about China’s place in the world and support for Russian positions. 


Trump in Beijing: Why the game stays the same for Europe

  • Andrew Small
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

Power couple: How South Korea fits in Europe’s battery strategy

  • Alexander Lipke, Jihye Yoo
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on European Power

BeijingHoldem GandT

Beijing hold’em: European cards against Chinese coercion

  • Tobias Gehrke, with Nina Schmelzer
  • Policy Brief

Europe has a China problem and pretending otherwise is making it worse. Chinese cheap exports and a monopoly on rare earths are not just economic irritants, but leverage wielded deliberately. Europeans can no longer just de-risk. They need a deterrence strategy with teeth


How China’s silent coercion has Europe sanctioning itself

  • Tobias Gehrke
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

Magyar’s mandate: Six insights from a post-election Hungary 

  • Piotr Buras, Paweł Zerka
  • Commentary
  • 7 minute read

More on European Security

Rechenzentrum in Mittenwalde im Bundesland Brandenburg, Deutschland

Fast energy: How Europe can power the AI revolution and stay competitive

  • Nicu Popescu, Alan Riley
  • Policy Brief

Europeans must urgently implement a “fast energy” programme to speed up access to energy to power AI—and remain competitive in the world


The battle for the mind: How Europe can stay safe in the cognitive threat era

  • Jonathan Nelson, Alejandro Romero
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

Romania’s government collapse is a trap with no easy exit

  • Oana Popescu-Zamfir
  • Article
  • 2 minute read

More on Middle East and North Africa

Iran nuclear monitor Month by month thumbnail image

Iran nuclear monitor: Month by month

  • Ellie Geranmayeh
  • Special

America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran’s path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely


Rescuing the Gaza ceasefire: What to do with Hamas’s weapons

  • Muhammad Shehada
  • Commentary
  • 8 minute read

Bypassing the straits: The India-Middle East-Europe corridor needs a wartime redesign

  • Cinzia Bianco, Arturo Varvelli
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

More on United States

Trump Meets Congo And Rwanda Officials Following Peace Agreement Washington

One battle after another: Factional struggles and the making of Trump’s foreign policy

  • Majda Ruge
  • Policy Brief

Trump’s foreign and security policy is the product of factional competition in the White House and a president fixated on short-term wins. Here’s how Europeans should come to terms with this new reality


As the US midterms loom, the Republican choice is surrender—or lose

  • Chris Herrmann, Nevada Joan Lee
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

The art of the off-ramp: How Europe can pressure Trump to end the war in Iran

  • Jeremy Shapiro
  • Commentary
  • 2 minute read
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