White papersFrom Transition to Physical Risk: Rethinking Portfolio Management
Over the past fifteen years, responsible investment has evolved, shifting from broad ESG scores to more granular climate risk management. Transition risk has dominated, with portfolio decarbonization anchored in standardized carbon intensity metrics and, more recently, complemented by measures of green intensity.
White papersReforms and reflation: unlocking Japanese equity upside
The Japanese equity market has underperformed for many years and has traded at a lower price-to-book (P/B) valuation than global peers. This discount has been warranted because return-on-equity (ROE) has been lower, reflecting an inflated denominator: balance sheets are overly large.
White papers3 views on the US-Iran conflict
As war in the Middle East escalates, investors are confronted with the reality of a world that is becoming more dangerous. With markets reacting minute by minute to the news, it is helpful to take a step back and consider events in a broader context. With that in mind, three Capital Group investment professionals offer their assessments of the developing US-Iran conflict.
White papersGeopolitical Risk and Asset Pricing Across Market Regimes
This paper examines how geopolitical risk (GPR) is transmitted across global financial markets by analyzing its effects on equities, sovereign bonds, foreign exchange, and commodities. Moving beyond single-regime and single-dimension approaches, the study adopts a two-regime Markov-switching framework to capture the state-dependent pricing of geopolitical shocks under low- and high-volatility market conditions.
PodcastFragmented forces shaping the markets - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
As tariffs figures once again hit the headlines, our new episode of Outerblue Convictions measures the feeling in the markets and looks at some of the main drivers over the past few weeks. Swaha Pattanaik speaks to Monica Defend, head of the Amundi Investment Institute, to gauge her reaction to the latest round of tariffs, and whether these impact our investment views.
White papersThree asset classes for European insurers to watch in 2026
As insurers enter 2026, the investment landscape remains challenging. Sovereign yield curves have steepened, credit spreads continue to trade near historical tights, and inflation uncertainty persists. At the same time, equity valuations remain elevated, while geopolitical and macro risks add further uncertainty.
White papersTech issues: The AI debt deluge hitting bond markets
Thus far, the artificial intelligence (AI) story has largely dominated the equity market narrative. However, 2025 marked a turning point. The major AI ‘hyperscalers’ are now turning to the bond market to fuel the technology’s rapid development.
White papersImplications of US-Israel strikes on Iran
What is the nature of the attack on Iran and how could the situation evolve?
White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2026
Since the start of the year, several of the key convictions we highlighted in our outlook have been playing out, and some trends have clearly accelerated. Markets have remained well supported, with significant rotations at country, sector and stock levels.
White papersUS earnings stay strong
The US earnings season reinforces our view of a broadening rally into real‑economy, signalling an ongoing — albeit non-linear — rotation towards these sectors.
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