More dispatches from the ether

nerd powerA few more articles for today:

Yes, there are variant strains of this particular coronavirus out there.  (I’ve heard eight different ones, but I don’t have a confirmation for that particular number, nor is it entirely relevant at this point.)  To be honest, it would be more of a surprise if there weren’t.  It is unknown at this point whether immunity to one strain makes you immune to all of these; however, the article referenced gives reasons for being optimistic, as the novel coronavirus is not as genetically complex on this score as, say, influenza.  (The article gets much further into the technical side of matters — which is good if you are like me and want to see the science underlying the news.)

So it may be that once a vaccine is developed, you’ll need to have a new one every so often, like with influenza, where you get a new flu shot every year, but it doesn’t seem to be the case just yet.

Pathogens — viruses and bacteria — can and do mutate, so we’re going to have to be careful in the coming years…but that is true of a host of diseases we have to stay ahead of.

We also have a case of a tiger at the Bronx Zoo catching CoViD-19 (likely) from an asymptomatic human zookeeper.  This is a surprise to me, as viruses usually target physiologies more narrowly than this, but apparently dogs and cats can get this from humans (the latter moreso than the former).  There isn’t any evidence of transmission from cats or dogs to humans…but this is yet another item for the “wait and see” file, as I also haven’t yet seen what the theorized mechanism was for infecting the tiger in the first place.  The American Veterinary Medical Association has released a statement, which was updated as of 1800 EDT yesterday, April 5.

Finally, a quick tip from a helpful veterinary assistant on Twitter: how to keep your glasses from fogging up while wearing a protective mask.  (It involves medical tape — the kind you use on wound dressings.  Should still be fairly easy to get.)

We want information

As a way of contributing to the general well-being, I’ve decided to temporarily revive this blog as a repository for information and opinions about the current public health emergency. And I will try to clearly mark which is which.

[And yes, the opinion part begins right here.]  One of the things about this situation is that it is evolving, and as it does, we may find out things which were previously unknown or even contradicted. In order to determine what to do, we have to take our best guesses, and that requires clear, critical thinking and risk analysis.

So to start, I should probably tell you not to believe me. I’m not a health professional. I have a background in the sciences, I try to retain knowledge about a number of topics (including health and medicine), and I like to think that I make reasonable choices, but if something here doesn’t sound right to you, please go and check it out. (And then let me know what you find out.)

Keep things in mind when verifying information:

  • What is the education level of this source?
  • What other sources corroborate it? which ones dispute it?
  • Has this source been proven right – or wrong – in the past, particularly on this subject?
  • Is there something well beyond the usual that is being claimed; something that would not ordinarily be recommended in this or any situation? (For example, “You should wash your hands thoroughly” vs. “You should drink bleach”)
  • Does the source gain in some way (usually monetarily) from having you believe them?

That’s not an exhaustive list, by the way. Being critical, but erring on the side of caution when there’s a question, is rarely the wrong call.

I welcome other viewpoints here as well, as long as we are mindful of the idea that, first, we’re all in a very scary situation together, so a little bit of gentility and understanding towards fellow humans goes a long way, and second, the next guy’s situation, and often therefore his or her solution, may not be yours, but as long as it is within a reasonable bound, you might wish to let it go. A “pretty good” solution that is attainable now is better than a “perfect” solution that can’t be done.

Again, keep in mind: even the “experts” right now are not entirely unified as to what’s going on. That’s in part because of what I mentioned above – and partly because that is how science actually works. Anybody who says they have the 100% fer shurr cure-all in a bottle or whatever is almost certainly lying.

Anyway, on with the show. The next several posts will contain items from news sources; if I feel it necessary, I will give opinions on the provenance of the message. Or I might just post some random goofiness, or my non-medical opinions on the world, just because, well, I can, and obsessing about this stuff 24×7 likely isn’t emotionally healthy for any of us.

And please know that I wish all of you to be healthy and safe. I feel that if we all use our wits and our compassion, we will get through this.

 

Talkin’ about a rebellion

“Seeing everybody makes me realise rock ‘n’ roll has become respectable. What a bummer.”
– Ray Davies, on accepting the Kinks’ induction into the Rock ‘n’ Roll Hall of Fame

It occurred to me while thinking about that which I value in life – a long story, and please don’t ask me to explain it at this point – that a great deal of what I consider the most important, most historic, or most significant things in the world, beyond that which is immediately personal, has to do with the concept of rebellion. The American Revolution. Rock ‘n’ roll. The quest for equal rights, and civil rights. The Apollo Project. Science fiction, role-playing games, personal computers, and other forms of empowering geekdom… Continue reading

The haunted world of science

My mother enjoys these shows on television which purport to show hauntings and the paranormal. I do too, really, owing to my own experience “seeing a UFO” when I was much younger. I write that in quotes now because other circumstantial evidence has led me to conclude that I probably dreamed the whole thing (I was in bed at the time, etc.), but I can’t really dismiss all UFO sightings, ghost sightings, cryptozoological encounters, and the like as similar delusions. Making a sweeping assumption that that many people are all bonkers is to start saying that a significant percentage of the population literally doesn’t know what reality is…that’s when you enter territory where “reality” as you yourself see it might need to be redefined.

In any case, Mom gave my lovely wife a book called Science and the Paranormal, which, she must have thought, would give a sympathetic treatment to the latter half of the subject. (My favorite TV show on the subject is Ghost Hunters, which Mom likes though she finds it irritating that they end up debunking so many of the “ghosts” in their investigations…which is one of the very reasons that my wife and I like it. We like singing the theme from “Casper, the Friendly Ghost” while she complains at the TV.) Alas, the book is written by CSICOP, and has many of its luminaries involved in the chapters (Isaac Asimov, Martin Gardner, Carl Sagan, Philip Klass, James Randi, and so on). efbq was a bit disappointed, but hopeful that since this was written long enough ago that they were still scientific; unbeknownst to us but in a greatly illustrative fashion, as of about a year ago, CSICOP changed their name, ostensibly to remove “Paranormal” from it, but which also had the effect, in a bit of irony lost completely on the organization, of removing “Scientific” from it as well.

Previously, CSICOP and its fellows and similar skeptics gave birth to a movement which was extremely timely and welcome. Claims of the paranormal were encroaching on legitimate scientific inquiry, and too many people were too ignorant to know the difference. In some sense, that continues today – I made mention of it recently in this blog as it pertains to the field of statistics. At that time, I found the effort slightly annoying, as they were killjoys to those of us who knew better anyway, and some of them were crashing bores as writers, but all in all, they practiced good science at the very least. That is, they knew what science was and what it wasn’t, and they didn’t attempt to use science to “prove” something that it wasn’t meant to do. Sometimes they evinced some annoyance themselves when this was the case – Sagan is a good example – but they did stick to their guns.

Unfortunately, that didn’t last long. Most of these guys knew science and that was all, and when all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. It became a simple flip-side to the intelligent designists of religion and the “true believers” of the paranormal: I have the “theory of everything”, and if your thing doesn’t fit, then you are wrong. If music opens worlds of consciousness to you…if the ruins of Chernobyl connote to you the folly of man…if you speak to God…if you love someone…then sorry, my little box doesn’t measure that. It doesn’t exist. Robert Anton Wilson correctly nailed this phenomenon on the head with the coinage “fundamentalist humanism”.

It’s gotten worse of late, much worse. Scientific skepticism has entered the Richard Dawkins Phase (link prolly NSFW) of its existence, where any yutz with a lab coat can pontificate on any subject imaginable because He Has ScienceTM. Attempts to discuss matters of philosophical, ethical, or spiritual import with such folks – or indeed, attempts to argue matters of scientific merit that originate beyond the university walls or journal pages of their sheltered existence – are met with the echoing clang of the gates of their mind closing, familiar to any who has attempted to engage a fundamentalist in any new thing or exercise.

Unfortunately, I’m being called away to parental duties, and I can’t think of a really decent way to conclude this, except:

  • Please don’t do this,
  • This might end up inspiring a rule on this blog,
  • If it does, I will not become Cory Doctorow or Teresa Hayden or the rest of the BoingBoing Censorship Guild,
  • The book looks kinda cool, but I don’t know if I’m going to read it or not.

Mahalo.

Design a site like this with WordPress.com
Get started