How Democracies Really Die: Lessons From Putin’s First Two Years

By Joseph Aronesty

If you don’t understand how Vladimir Putin dismantled Russia’s democracy in his first 24 months in office, you won’t understand how democracies erode anywhere — including here at home. What happened in Russia didn’t start with tanks, riots, or a military takeover. It began with paperwork. It began with “reforms.” It began with things that looked technical, boring, maybe even reasonable.

Russia in the 1990s was messy, corrupt, chaotic… but it was a democracy. Elections were real. Governors were elected. The press was noisy and often critical. Independent television networks investigated the Kremlin. Oligarchs funded opposition parties. Courts sometimes ruled against the president.

All of that ended shockingly fast, and almost nobody realized it until it was too late.

Step 1: Control the Story

Putin’s first move was not economic or military — it was informational. He moved to seize NTV, the only major independent national television network. Using Gazprom as the battering ram, the Kremlin took over the board, installed loyalists, and drove critical journalists into exile.

( Trump’s version of this is to align with FOX News and other media outlets. He has a loyal oligarchs, Larry and david Ellison, buying up the major media companies. Trump uses the same meme Putin used, “fake news”. He did not make that up. I have always said, “Trump is taking dictator lessons from Vladimir Putin. Some say Orban, but Orban is a desciple of Putin.”

Donald Trump had no historical knowledge of Russia when he ran for president in 2016. He was a game show host, casino owner, real estate trader, and a white-collar criminal, looking to get richer. Putin was the richest and most powerful person on the planet in 2016. He still may be that, because i tis certain that Putin has Trump compromised by taping the election-help vs. Hillary Clinton conversations, KGB style. Remember, the translator’s notes were destroyed by Trump after his Helsinki meeting in 2017. He knew he had to cover his traitorous tracks. )

With that quiet corporate takeover, Russia no longer had a national platform capable of scrutinizing power. For most Russians, reality itself now came through a Kremlin-approved lens. Once the state controls what citizens see, everything else becomes easier.

The effect on everyday Russians has not been good. Russia’s economy is under significant strain, facing high inflation, labor shortages, weakening currency, and increased taxes. Most Russians struggle with costs and high inflation, peaking over 10% in early 2025. Central Bank rates are at 21%, slowing growth and keeping prices elevated. The Russian economy suffers from labor shortages and falling behind technologically.

Step 2: Break Federalism

In his first year, Putin created seven “federal districts” headed by presidential envoys — essentially political commissars — who could overrule elected governors. Soon after, he gained the authority to dismiss governors outright.

The message was simple: regional power is tolerated only if it aligns with the president’s agenda. Sound familiar? (This is why governor’s powers and sovereign state power is so important to preserve in the USA.)

Democracy works when power is shared. Putin ended that in a single legislative stroke.

Step 3: Turn the Upper House Into a Rubber Stamp

Originally, the Russian Federation Council was made up of governors and regional legislative heads who were elected and accountable. Putin replaced them with appointed representatives, loyal to him alone not to Russian voters.

Checks and balances require independence. Putin quietly erased it.

Today, Trump is effectively the Speaker of the House. No one seems to have the patriotic focus to challenge him.

Step 4: Rebuild the Security State

Putin surrounded himself with former KGB and FSB officers, expanding surveillance powers and re-politicizing the police. These “siloviki” became the backbone of his regime: a loyal, disciplined, unelected class with institutional muscle. Sound familiar?

Democracy can survive a run of bad politicians. It cannot survive an intelligence apparatus aligned with a single man’s agenda.

Step 5: Neutralize Economic Rivals

Putin gathered the oligarchs and offered a deal: Stay out of politics, or lose everything. MBS did the same thing. Trump helped MBS locate and round up the Saudi oligarchs as his first foreign act in 2017. Our FBI knew where they were all hiding. Trump 1.0’s first foreign destination was to Saudi Arabia, and he still calls MBS “a great guy” even though he killed an american journalist, something Trump brushed off at “stuff happens”.

Most of the Russian oligarchs folded. The ones who didn’t — Boris Berezovsky, Vladimir Gusinsky — were exiled or stripped of their assets. This was the elimination of independent financial power. Without competing power centers, political competition withers.

Step 6: Engineer a Dominant Party

Putin built United Russia, the machinery that would later dominate every national election. It was designed not to inspire loyalty but to enforce it. A democracy without competitive parties is just a ceremonial exercise.

(Trump rails jail the democrats and has asked for the execution of our Generals and potential candidates like Senator Kelly and Eric Swalwell. He calls is retribution, but it’s the Putin way to take over a large democratic country.)

Step 7: Rewrite Election Rules

Russian elections didn’t disappear — they were simply redesigned. Small parties were squeezed out by new technical requirements. Candidate registration became a weapon. The Central Election Commission fell under presidential influence.

Everything looked legal. Everything looked procedural. But slowly, the ballot box became a controlled environment.

We will see how our midterm elections of 2026 go. But Trump will certainly try to fix them, and if his GOP party loses, they will deny they were fair, and perhaps not “seat” the winning candidates, the way they did to the Arizona representative, Adelita Grijalva.


The Lessons to Learn from the Russian and Hungarian fasicst takeovers

Russia’s democracy did not die because Putin was especially bold.
It died because he was subtle.

Putin didn’t destroy institutions. He captured them, the way Trump has captured the CDC and BOE.

Putin didn’t outlaw opposition.
He starved them out.

He didn’t cancel elections.
He fixed them.

And the world — including the Russian people — kept waiting for a dramatic moment, some unmistakable sign of authoritarian takeover. It never came. The end arrived through a thousand bureaucratic cuts.

Democracies rarely die in one night.
They die quietly, procedurally, in full view.


Why This Matters for America

The United States is not Russia. Our institutions are older, stronger, more resilient. But they are not invincible. Every democracy is vulnerable to the same pattern:

  • media capture
  • politicized law enforcement
  • weakened courts
  • attacks on independent governors
  • parties hollowed out into loyalty machines
  • elections rewritten through “legal adjustments”

The methods are subtle everywhere, because subtlety works.

If there’s a single lesson from Putin’s first two years, it’s this:

The moment to defend a democracy is before the crisis is obvious. After that, the slide is much harder to stop.

America’s strength has always been that its people do not sleepwalk through history. We debate. We argue. We shout. We vote. We hold the line.

Maybe that’s what holding on to love for a country actually means: caring enough to notice the early signs — and caring enough to act before the damage becomes irreversible.

My song to save America is waiting for an artist to make this patriotic meme of love for the real American democracy go front and center in our pop culture. We need a few rallying songs to keep ourselves inwardly aligned and resolved to not allow this country to go fascist. If you know people in our military at any level, make sure they know not to follow illegal orders.

Putin’s Determination to Destroy America is Part of Russian History

Why Trump was ideal to help Russia end American Democracy

Knowledge is power. I was blessed with a full scholarship to U of P in 1966 and studied there through 1971. My favorite two courses were Political Science taught by CJ Burnett, and Russian History taught by Alexander Riasanovsky, who was a political refugee from Russia and has written volumes on all things Russian. I got to thinking that had Trump, a fellow student at Penn in 1968, actually studied that Russian history course at Penn, he might not have sought election help from Putin in 2016, or at least, would have been more skeptical about trusting Putin.

This page is a synopsis what Riasanovsky taught. He was one who knew first-hand and explained things we all should understand these days in easy to understand and colorful ways.

Alexander Riasanovsky’s Core Lens on Russia

He taught that Russian history is driven by:

A chronic, urgent desire to “catch up” to a West they both admire and resent.

That creates a duality:

  • Admiration → desire for Western technology, industry, recognition
  • Resentment → anxiety, humiliation, jealousy and an imperial reflex to compensate for those inner feelings

He traced this Russian psychology back to Peter the Great:

  • Under Peter the Great, Russia forced itself into modernity to avoid becoming Europe’s “backward cousin”.
  • Successes fueled pride, but gaps fueled paranoia.

Putin plays this chord perfectly:

  • He needs the West as a foil
  • His legitimacy depends on portraying Russia as standing up to the West
  • Any Western advantage = personal insult = retaliation

That was the psychology behind the Russian 2016 election interference:

If Russia can’t rise by achievement, it will rise by sabotage.


Russia’s Identity Crisis He Taught Explicitly

He argued Russia has never resolved:

  • “Are we European?”
  • “Are we Asian?”
  • “Or are we a unique civilization destined to dominate both?”

That uncertainty produced nationalism with an inferiority complex.
He told students: Russia is too big to be ignored and too insecure to be trusted.

If only a certain Penn undergrad had taken notes…

Someone who studied Riasanovsky would’ve learned:

1️⃣ Russia does not make alliances. It makes leverage.
2️⃣ Gratitude spells weakness in Russia — Putin only believes in debt and dominance.
3️⃣ Helping Trump wasn’t friendship — it was a hook.
4️⃣ Once you take the help they offer, you belong to them forever.

Putin doesn’t care who runs America.
He cares that he has a hand on the wheel.

During the Cold War of the 50’s, Khrushchev went on record saying, “We will destroy America without firing a single bullet”. Putin 1s Khrushschev’s disciple.

Riasanovsky taught:

“Russia wants the West divided — and itself essential.”

Divide to defeat; 2016 was a masterclass in that Russian doctrine.

If only Trump had been the studying “type” at Penn, he may have thought more clearly about Putin’s real goals in offering him election help. Instead, he continues to serve as a useful idiot in the arsenal of Russia’s stance against America, the West and the East.

…..

After 30 years of the super powers, Russia, China and the USA not detonating nuclear weapons to “test” them, today, Donald Trump declared the USA will immediately resume nuclear testing. There is talk Russia and China will follow.

Previous Post: Donald Trump: An Executioner Deployed To Defeat Democracy World-Wide

Using the 14th Now To Save American Democracy from Surrender

I just asked CHAT GTP if America will still be a democracy in 2028. 

Go ahead. Try it yourself.

It’s not guaranteed that America will remain a functioning democracy in 2028, but it is still within the realm of possibility if the country takes steps to address its most pressing challenges.

“CHAT GTP” 11/16/24

…….

Norm Ornstein has encouraged me top keep fighting. But there’s only so much an online merchant can do.  I go back to 1968 with Donnie – Wharton and AC NJ.  This cannot end well. There is no going back once we give Trump and gang the guns aka control of military.

From: Joseph Aronesty <joe@wigsalon.com>
Sent: Monday, November 18, 2024 9:10 AM
To: Norman J. Ornstein <NOrnstein@aei.org>

Political Science 11/18/24

Saying the quiet part in my thoughts to someone who can make a last plea up top easier than I . 

Creative military tactics are born inside the imaginations of men dedicated to defend their homeland. Putin was creative. Trump was right. We are stupid. Stupid to let him assume power. But also stupid we let him run for POTUS again. 

J6 was a present.  We did not prosecute fully Trump or use the 14th to disqualify him or anyone in the GOP. Things are changing this week and can change more, if we make a plan . I feel the war thing being amplified.

Our survival was made easier by Biden koshering our missiles to hit Russia, if he uses that right now as a prelude. Biden now has an excuse to declare we have entered a state of ( cold ) war with Russia over Ukraine’s fate. 

He said over my dead body once in the campaign.  Well, its time to mean it, or mean something.  Not just watch as this cancer takes our country. 

Once Biden says we are in a state of war, our president has the right and duty to say something along these lines: 

“We are not going to turn our military efforts over to a man who could not say if Ukraine should win the war and stay a free country.  I won’t do it for the sake of all the soldiers, including my son Beau, who gave their lives to keep it the America we all want it to be. I have our military leaders and intelligence with me on this. ( He’d better have that support or they are with Trump and Putin and then it is really over. ) 

I am using the 14th amendment, section 3 to defend our country in this cold war, which is also a cyber war. He reads it aloud to the public and on Fox news too*. ( This should resemble FDR’s I hate war speech. )

This gives me the power to unseat any congresspeople or members of the judiciary who have aided or comforted our enemies in this current war. ( He unseats MTG and GOSAR and enough to make speaker Johnson not the majority immediately. Step 1) 

Those enemies include those who have aided or comforted insurrectionists or our enemies in dictatorships. You know who you are. If you try to stop us from prevailing in this war to defend Ukraine, you will be hurting our current military efforts, and we cannot allow that. I have asked to Putin and Zelensky negotiate a peace deal now. I want an end to all this needless bloodshed now. ( Maybe he can get dirt on Trump leaked in a peace deal that Putin likes a bit. Putin makes tapes. )

This is our “we surrender to Putin” moment.  I may have to stop trying and go silent if we let this happen. You guys are going to have to hide or be quiet. They are not messing around, and we are. 

WE ARE AT WAR

Trump’s turning the country over to our worst people on purpose. Putin started this war in 2016.  We must recognize we are at war.  I said it eight years ago.  You feel it in your bones.  This is a rerun for us. We remember what our parents were like who lived through this.  Our kids and their kids,  do not. 

But also, we are up against a man who has done this before, and knows the ropes. There was a Russo-Republican Alliance in 2016.  Biden is letting this happen and he does not have to. He has the powers now. Not after J20.  

He can call it a crisis. It is. Tell the people we are not going to surrender to Putin. Americans on both sides will have his back. 

We must test some balloons right now. These are like the days before the Cuban missile crisis.  A standoff and peace deal with Russia is the best outcome, before January 5th too. But Biden must say we are at war. – Cold war. Cyber war. But at war with Putin’s Russia. When Trump blabs about he will make peace, he is in violation of war standards. Act on it, like our dad’s generation did in WW2.

Maybe Biden should negotiate a peace and get release of dirt on Trump. Quietly but for a little better deal for Putin. It’s okay. Time and pressure and whatever Russia gains in the Donbass, it will come back.  

Trump said we were very stupid people. He will be right of we do not stop him. The 14th was put there for this. J6 a match made in democracy heaven.  The more they fight, the more we unseat them for siding with insurrectionists during a war.  And the more we keep releasing Jack Smith evidence. 

Jack Smith should actually make parts of his documents public now.  Biden should instigate it, and then pardon him.  These are the last days of a war with Russia. We will have surrendered if we do not prevent Trump from taking power. There is likely no going back for 30 years.  By then the planet is done. 

Or we can fight now. But not with these emails.  It is time for action.  Call for special elections for the unseated. Biden needs the military on his side. Not in the streets. But verbally.   We might as well fight this now while we have the power.  If Putin retaliates verbally or actually, there are more grounds.

You may have to freeze gas prices. WW2 stuff. Its okay. Its just words. 

*leave off the last sentence in the 14th when reading it aloud to the public, about 2/3 in congress may cure.  Its confusing even though it’s clear. GOP does not have 2/3 anyway.

The Presidential Election of 2024 is Part of Putin’s War Effort Against America

What can Joe Biden do in the last days before the final act of the cyber war launched against America by an alliance between Vladimir Putin and the Republican party? I am asserting that it is highly likely that top US GOP political congressmen made a mutually beneficial “deal” with an enemy state in 2016. The quid pro quo we can see is the removal of sanctions against Russia in the official Republican platform in 2016.

This was too dangerous to ignore – but it was ignored by the Obama-Biden administration, and then again by Biden’s ineffective AG, Merrick Garland. The problem is, and always has been, the neither the executive branch nor the US military is recognizing we at war with Russia because cyber war is a new way to war. It is war without bombs. They know they cannot beat us with bombs, yet, but by meddling in the elections of democracies, they can get us to stand down against their imperialism. You should know Putin tried this in France, and other countries as well. He made headway in Hungary,

It is pretty obvious his 2016 Fancy Bear social media blitz had an affect on the US electorate in 2016. If there are no laws* prohibiting our politicians from creating quid pro quos with enemy states, then these type of actions should be dealt with by military intelligence, sworn to protect our all of the United States, which must be defined by its people, lands and its institutions, including the institution of free and fair elections.

  • *It looks to me like HR4617, the SHIELD Act – Stopping Harmful Interference in Elections for a Lasting Democracy Act – was shut down by the Republicans in 2020 after Joe Biden won. Americans that care about our freedoms should wonder why the GOP would not want penalties for Congressmen making deals with America’s enemy states.

We are supplying weaponry to Ukraine to fight Putin. That means Russia and the United States are enemy states. The USA is Putin’s number one enemy state, and he would to love to “take” America like his is trying to do in the Ukraine. He knows he cannot do this with bombs. That does not mean he is not trying other ways. If Trump gets elected, he has taken over. The alliance will have defeated the USA.

The GOP cannot be assured that Putin will expose the details of the 2016 alliance. If any talk at all went over electronic media, there could be recordings. In private room settings, what was there to stop the emissaries from making secret recordings? The point is, the GOP made a deal with Putin – there is a trail of quid pro quos – and that’s now a lifetime deal in their minds because they know they may have been compromised. And frankly, that is how the Russian mob, the Mafia, the cartels always operate. When conducting crimes of treason, which is what an alliance with an enemy to affect the institution of elections must be defined as, there must be no way for the parties to leak. It is that simple. Gangster 101.

Trump was not yet the confirmed candidate. He was chosen at the convention, after the emissaries had made contact with top Republican party members. Then we see the GOP platform no longer contained certain sanctions against Russian oligarchs.

The problem for the GOP is that Trump won the election of 2016. The entire party does not know if Putin has recorded dirt on them, and must behave forevermore as if they are compromised.

That does mean if Trump wins our war effort in Ukraine will stop. And that also makes this the business of our military. Trump speaks of court martial. If the military got involved they could court martial Trump, as he actually was in the military. But that is not what I really want to focus on for this last week.

There is something easy Joe Biden can do to help ensure we do not lose our democracy and hence end up as the losers in the cyber war of 2016. People should know, this will not be very different than if Putin nuked one of our cities, and then threatened to kill us all if we did not surrender. Trump and the GOP will do whatever Putin asks from day one. In time, the electorate will have the resistance drummed out of them, and this place will be spiritually annexed by Russia and the GOP supporters.

The one thing Joe Biden can do is fire Merrick Garland, perhaps during the last 30 minutes of the election, and install Kamala Harris’s choice for AG, and that had best not be Merrick Garland or anyone who wants to play softball with the traitors in our midst. Someone at least like Glenn Kirchner, who seems to know what’s at stake.

We are in a war, and have been since 2016. Even if Harris wins, we will need an AG ready to enforce the 14th amendment over the objections from the Supreme Court, because that court has at least two members who have comforted insurrectionists and therefore, shall not serve in Congress nor in the judicial system.

The other thing to say is that Joe Biden. A corrupt court gave you more powers than any president ever had before. You have a good heart. You don’t want to be remembered as the last president of the United States, do you? You were not sleepy for the people with your accomplishments. But maybe what Trump and his allies here and in Russia, mean is that they know you are not the type to come after their crimes, hence Sleepy Joe, as far as they are concerned.

To our wonderful military intelligence people, I say this. If you have any evidence that implicates Trump or any GOP officials in dealing with Russia now would be the time to release those details, one way or another. You have a duty to protect. The presidential election of 2014 is part of Putin’s war effort against the USA.