During the Covid Thanksgiving of 2021, we began to hear about Russian troops building up on the Ukraine border. But the initial attack did not come until February of 2022. Trump had lost the election and the Democratic administration reset our diplomatic relationship with Putin’s Russia back to where it had been under the Obama presidency, and all the other US presidencies going back to Kennedy in the 60’s.
It’s easy to imagine that America would not have come to Ukraine’s aid if Trump had beaten Biden. Trump and the Republicans got massive and likely decisive campaign assistance in the 2016 election vs Clinton. Trump and the GOP owed Putin for that. That debt of loyalty is owed lifelong to Putin.
I began to wonder why the attack on Ukraine happened during the Biden administration and not Trump’s a few months earlier. I came to the conclusion that the only logical reason for that miscalculation was covid. Yes, perhaps Putin thought Trump would win again. But I am sure he realized that was not a sure thing. Pressure to stay loyal to Putin may be the real reason Trump ran a coup to take over the executive branch with a post-election insurrection.
I was a peer with Donny Trump at Wharton School in 1968. It is certain that he never studied what was being taught there. There was a wonderful course on Russian History taught by a Russian ex pat author who sought refuge in the USA. Trump could have learned the way the real world worked, but all he ever wanted to learn was how his father’s corrupt world worked.
So you tell me how Donald Trump could have even imagined that the US government could be taken “legally” by a coup. Think on that. I believe you will conclude he could not do this alone because he did not know if it even had been done before anywhere on the planet. He did not know because he did not read or study history. So the potential of a coup have been putin his head by someone.
It could have been Guiliani, who was also involved with Russian patsies. It could have been Kushner, who did and does know how to study, but he also has ties to MBS in Saudi Arabia, also a dictator. It could have been Bannon or Manafort who was Trump’s first campaign manager. all of these people knew how to study history. But it makes most sense that Putin was the insurrection guru because he was the one man who had actually taken a country via a series of tactics which could be taught to an apprentice. Putin had a very strong reason to want to keep Trump in power for 2nd term: he wanted to be able to attack Ukraine without Zelensky getting US aid.
But then why did not Putin attack Ukraine six months earlier? This is a graph of Russian covid deaths focused on 2022. There was a huge spike in the spring of 2022 that continued to rise though the winter.
Russian Coronavirus Cases 2022: 21,996,744
Deaths: 395,279
Population of Russia 2022: 140 million
"Psychologically, today’s governments — similar to their 1914 predecessors — were distracted as the crisis unfolded at a speed and extent for which they were unprepared."
I have concluded that the most logical reason Putin did not attack Ukraine in 2022 was that he was too busy dealing with covid to divert sources to Ukraine in 2022. Covid has affected our world in so many ways. This above is just logical conjecture, but I searched back to the pandemic of 1918 which happened during World War 1. I found this article at the Carnegie Institute.
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