attribution
-
D and A and I and H
Detection and attribution is back in the news for all the wrong reasons. Pielke Junior is once again pushing the line that anyone wanting to say anything about extreme weather has to prove all over again that climate change is happening. There are tedious arguments about emergence and detection and attribution and what exactly they… Continue reading
-
Isomorts
The advances in modern science are such that we can now attribute deaths in a heatwave to climate change. In fact, so advanced is the science that neither heat nor deaths need to have happened. We can forecast the heat and, from that, project the increased risk of mortality. So far, we have managed to… Continue reading
-
Everything that didn’t happen
High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide has been ambient for a few days now. The abstract has some striking numbers. “We find that two-thirds (one-fifth) of warming is attributable to the wealthiest 10% (1%), meaning that individual contributions are 6.5 (20) times the average per capita contribution. For extreme events, the top 10%… Continue reading
-
Expanding frontiers eventually meet
“Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts” is an immensely satisfying paper. A rabbit hole full of rabbit holes, it burrows deep into a wide range of issues with extreme event attribution, barriers, uncertainties, caveats and so on. And (to switch metaphorical gears without the help of a doubly metaphorical clutch) as one does… Continue reading
-
The macroeconomic impact of a number
A bit like a bucket of wet calamari flung through a doorway, signifying nothing. Continue reading
-
A bear of little brain I be
Me being confused by the macroeconomic impact of macrotemperatures. Send help. Continue reading
-
…it was the winter of despair
In which I wonder what would happen if time ran backwards and the globe cooled. Continue reading
-
Synecdoche ain’t okey dokey
Analysing extreme events, as important as they are, can only every provide a partial view of climate-related impacts. Continue reading
Diagram Monkey 