Skip to main content

Highlights

How geoeconomics will affect the green transition

15 June 2026 An LSE Festival event: Ed Conway, Peter Hill, Catherine Thomas and Linda Yueh explore how the need to tackle climate change will be affected by the geopolitical shocks reshaping trade, production and investment.
How to win a trade war

4 June 2026 Chad Bown and Soumaya Keynes discussed their new book How to Win a Trade War exploring the history, players and rules of trade. They were joined by Stephanie Rickard and Martin Wolf.
curved bookcase Susan-Q-yin on unsplash
CEP is partner in Economics of Education Research Centre

A new Economics of Education Research Centre is being established by CEP, UCL’s Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities and the Institute for Fiscal Studies.
Thames barrier John Cameron on unsplash
Catalysing climate resilience

There is an economic, social and environmental imperative to scale up and innovate in climate adaptation-related goods and services
CEP occasional paper
Wellbeing appraisal for Low Traffic Neighbourhoods. Underpinning evidence and assumptions

Some argue that school is a means to an end, and time spent in lessons may be unpleasant, but it helps these children in the future. The question is 'to what end'. Are school years something which have to be tolerated in...Read more...

Sara MacLennan

11 June 2026
CEP discussion paper
Blindly discriminating: the GI Bill and racial inequality

The World War II GI Bill was the largest education subsidy in US history and a cornerstone of the post-war US transition to a knowledge economy. Although formally race-blind, the program's decentralized administration le...Read more...

Lukas Althoff and Christiane Szerman

10 June 2026
CEP discussion paper
The broken ladder: AI, remote work, and early-career hiring

Is generative AI replacing junior workers? A growing literature answers yes, citing large declines in early-career hiring concentrated in GenAI-exposed occupations. We argue that this verdict is premature because GenAI e...Read more...

Peter John Lambert and Yannick Schindler

10 June 2026
CEP discussion paper
What happens in Paris, does not stay in Paris: trade fairs and search and matching frictions

Search and matching frictions prevent firms from forming international trade linkages. Despite trade fairs being a common and often subsidized tool to overcome these frictions, we lack causal evidence on how they facilit...Read more...

Gabor Bekes, Matyas Molnar and Claudia Steinwender

10 June 2026
Blog
LSE Impact:
The lack of women at the top of the academic ladder is driven by unequal childcare responsibilities

Motherhood, and the unequal childcare responsibilities that follow, explain a large share of the observed gender gap in academic employment. Sofie Cairo, Ria Ivandic, Anne Sophie Lassen and Valentina Tartari find that th...Read more...

Sofie Cairo, Ria Ivandic, Anne Sophie Lassen and Valentina Tartari

8 June 2026
CEP discussion paper
Plastic dumping grounds: the international incidence of environmental regulation

Can environmental regulation reduce pollution globally, or does it merely shift environmental burdens across countries? We study China’s 2017 ban on plastic waste imports, which abruptly closed the world’s largest destin...Read more...

Deniz Atalar, Banu Demir and Swati Dhingra

3 June 2026
CEP discussion paper
What is the public’s social welfare function?

Optimal public policy requires a social welfare function defined over individual utilities. While there is substantial research on income-based social welfare functions, no published study has directly elicited public pr...Read more...

Richard Layard and Ekaterina Oparina

3 June 2026
Blog
Project Syndicate:
The Mismeasurement of Europe's Productivity

The Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman uses the wrong metric - purchasing power parity - to make the case that Europe is not lagging far behind the US in terms of productivity. The right metric shows that the gap is g...Read more...

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud and Luis Garicano

29 May 2026
Blog
HEPI:
The unseen ripples of human possibility: how undergraduate tutors could lead a new era of National Service

Lee Elliot Major argues for a national university volunteering service which could involve undergraduates tutoring pupils and spread to other forms of community action....Read more...

Lee Elliot Major

28 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Spatial productivity disparities in Great Britain

We study productivity disparities across metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Great Britain. Spatial disparities in productivity are large and persistent. Using a development accounting framework, we show that diff...Read more...

Mimosa Distefano, Helene Donnat, Henry G. Overman and Krishan Shah

28 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Changing jobs: worker mobility and wages in the UK labour market

We study the role of job-to-job transitions in shaping wage dynamics in the United Kingdom. We show that job moves have continued to generate substantial wage gains for movers even during a period of real wage stagnation...Read more...

Pinjas Albagli, Nye Cominetti, Rui Costa, Andrew Eyles and Guglielmo Ventura

28 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Counting the costs: a quantitative assessment of Brexit’s effect on UK regional economies

This paper examines the implications of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) using a dynamic spatial general equilibrium model. Unlike previous studies that primarily projected potential impacts of Brexit base...Read more...

Swati Dhingra, Emily Fry, Sophie Hale and Ningyuan Jia

28 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
The fragility of the global trading system

We use a parsimonious gravity framework to simulate and compare five potential shocks to the global shipping system: closures of the Panama Canal, the Suez Canal, and the Strait of Malacca, and openings of the Northwest ...Read more...

Stephan Maurer, Luke Milsom and Ferdinand Rauch

27 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Returns to green tasks in Europe: evidence from online job vacancies

There is growing evidence that green jobs have higher skill requirements, but whether they offer sufficient wage incentives to encourage workers to acquire those skills remains unclear. We study the green wage premium an...Read more...

Leanne Cass, Federico Fabio Frattini, Misato Sato, Aurelien Saussay and Francesco Vona

27 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Skills, not scale: GenAI and technology adoption

Do the determinants of technology adoption depend on technological architecture? Using administrative data on Turkish firms from 2021 to 2024, we compare the adoption of traditional and generative artificial intelligence...Read more...

Nuriye Melisa Bilgin and Gianmarco Ottaviano

21 May 2026
Journal article
IMF Economic Review:
Accommodating Emerging Giants in the Global Economy

How have aggregate income and welfare in the United States been affected by globalization and rapid productivity growth in emerging economies? We use the class of constant elasticity trade models to provide quantitative ...Read more...

Zhuokai Huang, Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen J. Redding

19 May 2026
Blog
LSE Management:
Is the world becoming more autocratic?

The last 50 years has seen a shift in the composition of autocratic states across the globe. However, while there is not yet exactly an economic bloc of autocratic states, along the lines of the Soviet spheres of influen...Read more...

Simon Commander and Saul Estrin

19 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Mind the break-up: when policy disrupts firms' supply chains

This paper examines how policy-induced supply-chain shocks affect firms’ performances, using the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) as a source of exogenous variation. Using UK microdata on firm-level goods and ...Read more...

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Martina Magli

15 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Should we stay or should we go? Firms’ decision on services mode of supply

Services account for one-third of global trade, yet little is known about the impact of trade restrictions on services trade. To make progress in this area, it is crucial to understand through which modes services are tr...Read more...

Holger Breinlich and Martina Magli

15 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Evading the ban: smuggling, pollution, and the welfare effects of China’s waste import restrictions

While import restrictions are increasingly deployed to achieve non-trade objectives such as environmental protection, they often create distortions and leakage through illicit trade. We examine this trade-off in the cont...Read more...

Hanwei Huang and Yuyuan Yu

15 May 2026
Blog
LSE British Politics:
A more productive economy is being delivered under this Labour government

The Labour government set raising economic growth as its central target while in power. The new figures published by the Office for National Statistics suggest that the economy is doing a lot better than expected. John V...Read more...

John Van Reenen

15 May 2026
Chapter
Advancing gender equality in parenting: the remaining challenge
in The Routledge International Handbook of Time Use Themes and Applications

The roles of men and women in the labour market have been converging in recent decades, but studies have shown that women are devoting more time to childcare, widening the gender gap in this area. Using data from the UK ...Read more...

Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal, Almudena Sevilla and Jorge Velilla

14 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
The civil war reduced slave owners' economic power but increased their political influence

Did Southern elites’ economic losses from abolition translate into diminished political influence? Using novel census-linked data on state lawmakers across four slave owning and two Northern states (1850–1880), we docume...Read more...

Luna Bellani, Anselm Hager and Stephan Maurer

14 May 2026
CEP discussion paper
Gender equality and innovation: evidence from UK companies

We investigate the effect of intra-firm gender disparities on innovation using a unique longitudinal dataset of UK companies from 1996 to 2019. Utilising within-industry and within-firm variation, as well as an instrumen...Read more...

Pawel Bukowski and Hannah Yi Wei

14 May 2026
CEP report
Catalysing climate resilience

The UK is experiencing increasing impacts from climate change, including more frequent and severe floods, heatwaves and storms. It needs to prepare more for these impacts. It also needs to honour its pledge to support cl...Read more...

Raffaele Della Croce, Daisy Jameson, Maxwell Read, Esin Serin and Anna Valero

14 May 2026

Monday 15 June 2026 - Tuesday 16 June 2026

CEP Public Events
Co-hosted with the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)
First annual CEP-IFS labour conference

Bringing together leading researchers and junior scholars to discuss frontier research in labour economics....Read more...

Various speakers

Off Campus

Monday 15 June 2026 18:30 - 19:30

CEP Public Events
How geoeconomics will affect the green transition

World events have shone a stark light on the vulnerabilities of energy markets, supply chains and global economic security. How will the need to tackle climate change be affected by the geopolitical shocks reshaping trad...Read more...

Catherine Thomas (CEP, LSE), Linda Yueh (University of Oxford), Peter Hill (NorthStar Advisory), Ed Conway (Sky News)

This event is both online and in person

MAR, Ground Floor, The Marshall Building, 44 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3LY

Tuesday 16 June 2026 13:00 - 14:00

CEP Public Events
Green industrial policy: balancing national goals and global integration

The fracturing consensus on green growth, shifting trade dynamics, and security concerns are reshaping industrial policy priorities across the UK, Europe and beyond....Read more...

David Willetts, Anna Valero (CEP), Oliver Harman (LSE), Louise Hellem (CBI)

This event is both online and in person

MAR 1.10, 1st floor, The Marshall Building, 44 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3LY

Wednesday 17 June 2026 11:00 - 12:00

International Economics Workshops
TBA

Read more...

Davi Moura (LSE)

SAL 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, Sir Arthur Lewis Building, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH

Friday 19 June 2026 11:00 - 12:00

Labour Economics Workshops
TBA

Read more...

SAL 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, Sir Arthur Lewis Building, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH

Friday 19 June 2026 13:00 - 14:00

European Seminars on the Economics of Crime (ESEC)
Youth Assault Victimization as a Two-Generation Shock: Evidence on Parental Spillovers

When a child is the victim of a non-domestic violent assault, how do their parents respond? Using linked population-wide administrative data from New Zealand and a stacked difference-in-differences design, we show that y...Read more...

Mikkel Mertz (The ROCKWOOL Foundation, IZA)

This event is both online and in person

SAL 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, Sir Arthur Lewis Building, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH

Tuesday 23 June 2026 13:30 - 14:45

Labour and Education Seminars
TBA

Read more...

Wilbur Townsend (UC Berkeley)

This event is both online and in person

SAL 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, Sir Arthur Lewis Building, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH

Financial Times
What if remote working, not AI, is to blame for weak junior hiring?

Peter Lambert and Yannick Schindler's research into reasons for a fall in entry-level hiring, shows the drop off began after Covid and before AI, John Burn-Murdoch discusses their findings in his Data Points column. ... Read more...

29 May 2026

Project Syndicate
The mismeasurement of Europe's productivity

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud and Luis Garicano argue that using purchasing power parity to compare US and European economies is misleading, saying that Europe does have a real productivity problem. ... Read more...

29 May 2026

Aeon
Make immigration boring

Alan Manning writes about the polarised debate on migration and points a way towards setting out a clearer way of thinking about the issue. ... Read more...

21 May 2026

CEP Announcement
CEP is partner in Economics of Education Research Centre

A new Economics of Education Research Centre (EERC) to develop a robust evidence base for education and skills policymaking, is being established by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP), UCL’s Centre for Educa... Read more...

20 May 2026

Schools Week
'No excuses' doctrine means zero insight into barriers a child faces

Lee Elliot Major writes about the use of vulnerability indices in schools to find a way to identify the barriers that may hinder children's learning. ... Read more...

2 April 2026

CEP Announcement
Brian Bell appointed as chief economic adviser to the Treasury and head of the Government Economic Service

Congratulations to Brian Bell, professor of economics at King's Business School, King's College London, and research associate in CEP's labour programme, who has been appointed as chief economic adviser to the Treasury. ... Read more...

13 February 2026

CEP Announcement
David Metcalf (1942-2026)

With great sadness we have learnt that our good friend and colleague David Metcalf has passed away. Together with Richard Layard and Stephen Nickell, David set up the Centre for Labour Economics, which became the Centre... Read more...

9 February 2026

The Guardian
No, private schools aren’t victims of ‘reverse discrimination’ – and Cambridge should know better

In an article for The Guardian, Lee Major Elliot writes how Trinity Hall’s plan to target elite schools sends the message that privilege equals talent, when the reality is that poorer students are already on the ba... Read more...

10 January 2026

CEP Announcement
Jonathan Wadsworth awarded CBE in New Year's honours

Congratulations to Jonathan Wadsworth, professor of economics at Royal Holloway, University of London and associate of the Centre for Economic Performance who has been recognised in the New Year Honours List 2026. Profe... Read more...

5 January 2026

Financial Times
Why Immigration Policy is Hard - a guide to breaking out of the 'infernal circle'

Anyone who thinks they know how rich countries should frame their rules on immigration should read economist Alan Manning's carefully balanced guide to the complexities of the subject, writes Delphine Strauss. ... Read more...

28 December 2025

Project Syndicate
Only creative destruction will boost European competitiveness

Philippe Aghion writes about how major geopolitical developments have forced Europeans to rethink how they will ensure their own prosperity, security and sovereignty. Arguing that policymakers must not take innovation fo... Read more...

10 December 2025

Financial Times
Why the small boats won't stop

FT columnist Stephen Bush describes Alan Manning's new book as "fantastic, accessible and wittily written" in this column examining changes to the asylum and immigration system. ... Read more...

17 November 2025

The Observer
Young people need a clear path to apprenticeships

Richard Layard writes for The Observer on the necessity for the Labour government to make youth apprenticeships a priority. ... Read more...

9 November 2025

CEP Announcement
Anna Valero appointed as Industrial Strategy adviser

Congratulations to Anna Valero, distinguished policy fellow at LSE and director of CEP's growth programme, who has been appointed as industrial strategy adviser to the chancellor. Dr Valero, a growth and productivity ex... Read more...

23 October 2025

BBC One
Panorama: The race to build 1.5 million homes

Paul Cheshire features in this investigation into the UK's housing crisis and whether the government's promise to build 1.5 million new homes by 2029 can be met. ... Read more...

20 October 2025

The Guardian
Trio win Nobel economics prize for work on technology-driven growth

Joel Mokyr has warned of ‘dark clouds’ amid Trump tariffs, while Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt have written about role of ‘creative destruction’. ... Read more...

13 October 2025

New York Times
Three Share Nobel in Economics for Work on How Technology Drives Growth

Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt won the prize for showing how “society must keep an eye on the factors that generate and sustain economic growth,” an award committee member said. ... Read more...

13 October 2025

The Financial Times
Economics Nobel Prize awarded for explaining innovation-driven growth

The 2025 Nobel Prize for Economics has been awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Agion and Peter Howitt for their efforts in explaining how innovation impacts economic growth. ... Read more...

13 October 2025

CEP Announcement
Philippe Aghion wins Nobel Prize in economic sciences

Congratulations to Philippe Aghion, professor at the College de France and INSEAD, and at the London School of Economics, who has been awarded the 2025 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nob... Read more...

13 October 2025

Observer
Britain's high borrowing costs and low fertility rate could trap us in a debt doom loop

Richard Davies writes for The Observer on Britain's debt problem and Rachel Reeves's biggest challenge this autumn. ... Read more...

6 October 2025

CEP Announcement
Dennis Novy begins role as chief economist at the Foreign Office

Congratulations to Dennis Novy, professor of economics at the University of Warwick and research associate in CEP's trade programme, who has been appointed as chief economist and director of analysis at the Foreign, Comm... Read more...

3 October 2025

CEP Announcement
Isabela Manelici receives European Research Council Starting Grant

A European Research Council (ERC) Starting Grant has been awarded to CEP assistant professor, Isabela Manelici. With a total funding of €761 million awarded to 478 early-career researchers across Europe, ERC Start... Read more...

4 September 2025

BBC Radio 4
File on 4 Investigates - Domestic Abuse: Beyond the Checklist

Ria Ivandic, CEP associate, shares research showing that 88% of repeat cases of domestic abuse violence had previously been categorised as standard or medium risk under the DASH risk assessment, rather than high risk. ... Read more...

26 August 2025

The Observer
A 45-year view of bond markets can insure us against tomorrow's shocks

Richard Davies writes for The Observer about usefulness, and perils, of bond markets. ... Read more...

13 July 2025

BBC Radio 4
Rethink ... summer holidays

Lee Elliot Major is a guest on this edition of Rethink, talking about research recommending that the summer holidays should be cut by a week and that break taken instead in the autumn term. ... Read more...

30 June 2025

CEP logo

CEP carries out policy-focused research on economic performance, at all levels from individuals up to the overall economy. CEP is recognised as a global centre of excellence, with ESRC Research Institute status.