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Recent electoral history | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 55% ± 9% 69.2% 61.1% 54.8% OLP 23% ± 7% 9.8% 9.8% 22.1% NDP 14% ± 5% 16.7% 17.1% 14.9% ONP 4% ± 3% 0.0% 2.9% 3.6% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.0% 3.7% 2.5% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 4.6% 2.0%

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338Canada Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke 46% 64% 55% ± 9% PC 16% 30% 23% ± 7% OLP 8% 19% 14% ± 5% NDP 1% 6% 4% ± 3% ONP PC 2025 54.83% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke

Odds of winning | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke