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Recent electoral history | Orléans


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 56% ± 9% 39.1% 46.4% 54.2% PC 35% ± 9% 35.2% 32.7% 35.3% NDP 5% ± 3% 21.9% 13.6% 6.0% GPO 2% ± 2% 2.5% 4.6% 2.5% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.5% 1.1% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

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338Canada Orléans projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Orléans 46% 65% 56% ± 9% OLP 27% 44% 35% ± 9% PC 2% 7% 5% ± 3% NDP OLP 2025 54.18% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Orléans >99% OLP <1% PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Orléans

Odds of winning | Orléans