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Recent electoral history | Kitchener—Conestoga


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 42% ± 9% 39.6% 40.0% 41.5% OLP 31% ± 8% 14.1% 17.5% 29.5% NDP 17% ± 6% 38.0% 28.9% 18.5% GPO 5% ± 3% 6.5% 6.2% 5.5% NBPO 3% ± 2% 0.0% 5.9% 2.8% ONP 2% ± 2% 0.0% 1.3% 2.2%

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338Canada Kitchener—Conestoga projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Kitchener—Conestoga 33% 51% 42% ± 9% PC 22% 39% 31% ± 8% OLP 11% 23% 17% ± 6% NDP 2% 9% 5% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 41.54% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kitchener—Conestoga 98%▼ PC 2%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Kitchener—Conestoga

Odds of winning | Kitchener—Conestoga