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Recent electoral history | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 40% ± 9% 43.2% 40.6% 38.8% PC 33% ± 8% 31.0% 32.7% 33.8% OLP 22% ± 7% 19.8% 18.3% 22.2% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.2% 5.3% 3.5% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.0% 1.2%

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338Canada Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas 31% 50% 40% ± 9% NDP 25% 41% 33% ± 8% PC 15% 29% 22% ± 7% OLP NDP 2025 38.76% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas 92%▲ NDP 8%▼ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas

Odds of winning | Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas