Southern Manitoba
18 provincial districts
Latest update: March 22, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Southern Manitoba
→
List of districts — Southern Manitoba
→
Manitoba projection map
→
Manitoba polls
→
Back to 338Canada Manitoba home
→
Riding roulette!
→
Southern Manitoba
18 provincial districts
Latest update: March 22, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Manitoba Projection | Southern Manitoba
Manitoba Seat Projection | Southern Manitoba
List of districts | Southern Manitoba
Latest update: March 22, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Jodie Byram
|
PC safe | |
Josh Guenter
|
PC safe | |
Glen Simard
|
NDP safe | |
Wayne Balcaen
|
NDP likely | |
Bob Lagassé
|
Toss up | |
Konrad Narth
|
PC safe | |
Wayne Ewasko
|
PC likely | |
Trevor King
|
PC safe | |
Lauren Stone
|
PC safe | |
Carrie Hiebert
|
PC safe | |
Jeff Bereza
|
PC safe | |
Jeff Wharton
|
PC likely | |
Greg Nesbitt
|
PC safe | |
Richard Perchotte
|
NDP leaning | |
Ron Schuler
|
PC leaning | |
Colleen Robbins
|
PC likely | |
Kelvin Goertzen
|
PC safe | |
Doyle Piwniuk
|
PC safe |