logo
British columbia

Recent electoral history | Victoria-Beacon Hill


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 41% ± 7% 53.6% 54.7% 47.4% BCG 37% ± 8% 30.9% 30.2% 33.5% CPBC 18% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 19.2% BCU 0% ± 0% 14.5% 13.9% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


British Columbia flag

338Canada Victoria-Beacon Hill projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Victoria-Beacon Hill 34% 48% 41% ± 7% NDP 29% 45% 37% ± 8% BCG 13% 23% 18% ± 5% CPBC NDP 2024 47.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Victoria-Beacon Hill 72%▼ NDP 28%▲ BCG <1% CPBC Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Victoria-Beacon Hill

Odds of winning | Victoria-Beacon Hill