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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Little Mountain


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 57% ± 7% 51.5% 50.9% 62.1% CPBC 29% ± 6% 0.0% 0.2% 30.6% BCG 10% ± 5% 13.7% 14.7% 7.3% BCU 0% ± 0% 34.1% 33.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-Little Mountain projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Vancouver-Little Mountain 49% 64% 57% ± 7% NDP 22% 35% 29% ± 6% CPBC 5% 15% 10% ± 5% BCG NDP 2024 62.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Little Mountain >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Vancouver-Little Mountain

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Little Mountain