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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Kensington


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 56% ± 8% 54.6% 59.6% 60.9% CPBC 29% ± 7% 0.3% 0.0% 31.5% BCG 10% ± 5% 10.3% 11.8% 7.6% BCU 0% ± 0% 34.0% 27.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-Kensington projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Vancouver-Kensington 48% 64% 56% ± 8% NDP 22% 36% 29% ± 7% CPBC 5% 15% 10% ± 5% BCG NDP 2024 60.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Kensington >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Vancouver-Kensington

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Kensington