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Recent electoral history | Surrey-Serpentine River


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 46% ± 8% 0.0% 1.9% 49.7% NDP 44% ± 8% 44.4% 51.2% 47.5% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 8.7% 6.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 46.1% 40.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-Serpentine River projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Surrey-Serpentine River 38% 54% 46% ± 8% CPBC 36% 52% 44% ± 8% NDP 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE CPBC 2024 49.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-Serpentine River 64%▲ CPBC 36%▼ NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Surrey-Serpentine River

Odds of winning | Surrey-Serpentine River