logo
British columbia

Recent electoral history | Saanich South


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 46% ± 7% 41.3% 54.1% 49.8% CPBC 29% ± 6% 0.0% 0.0% 32.4% BCG 20% ± 6% 26.7% 21.6% 17.8% BCU 0% ± 0% 31.0% 24.4% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


British Columbia flag

338Canada Saanich South projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Saanich South 39% 53% 46% ± 7% NDP 23% 36% 29% ± 6% CPBC 14% 26% 20% ± 6% BCG NDP 2024 49.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saanich South >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Saanich South

Odds of winning | Saanich South