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Recent electoral history | Nanaimo-Lantzville


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 47% ± 7% 38.8% 48.0% 51.8% CPBC 36% ± 7% 0.0% 2.1% 39.5% BCG 12% ± 5% 19.7% 20.0% 8.7% BCU 0% ± 0% 40.6% 29.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Nanaimo-Lantzville projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Nanaimo-Lantzville 40% 54% 47% ± 7% NDP 30% 43% 36% ± 7% CPBC 7% 16% 12% ± 5% BCG NDP 2024 51.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nanaimo-Lantzville 97%▼ NDP 3%▲ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Nanaimo-Lantzville

Odds of winning | Nanaimo-Lantzville