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Recent electoral history | Abbotsford South


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 57% ± 8% 0.0% 2.4% 61.6% NDP 32% ± 7% 26.2% 34.2% 35.2% ONE 6% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 14.0% 11.1% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 55.4% 45.1% 0.0%

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338Canada Abbotsford South projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Abbotsford South 49% 65% 57% ± 8% CPBC 25% 39% 32% ± 7% NDP 2% 11% 6% ± 4% ONE CPBC 2024 61.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford South >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Abbotsford South

Odds of winning | Abbotsford South