10x Research — Institutional Crypto & Macro Intelligence
Institutional Crypto & Macro Research · Since 2023

The edge serious
investors rely on.

Four publications. One research platform. Built by a former hedge fund CIO with experience at Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and Millennium Capital.

Morgan Stanley · JP Morgan · Millennium · CNBC · CoinDesk

Four publications.
One analytical edge.

From daily Bitcoin signals to structural macro research — choose the publication that matches your investment horizon and portfolio size.

Publication 01
Cross-Asset Macro

10x What Matters

The thematic macro framework connecting dollar debasement, commodity & AI scarcity, and space frontier privatization into one unified investment thesis — expressed through equities, ETFs, Bitcoin, and hard assets. Published every Friday.

  • The 500-year thesis: cryptography and satellites are ending the nation-state
  • Dollar debasement and the new monetary order — gold and Bitcoin positioning
  • Commodity & AI supercycle — critical minerals, fertilizer, and energy scarcity
  • Privatization of the frontier — SpaceX, Starlink, and defense tech
  • Actionable across equities, ETFs, commodities, and digital assets
Publication 02
Crypto Intelligence

10x Market Updates

3–5 research reports per week covering Bitcoin direction, on-chain signals, crypto equity catalysts, and macro inflection points. The publication that called the 2022 low and projected $125k — before the consensus got there.

  • Monday market structure briefing — the week ahead in one read
  • Bitcoin direction and catalyst analysis using proprietary indicators
  • The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index and funding rate regime signals
  • Crypto equity earnings coverage — miners, exchanges, infrastructure
  • Friday summary: everything that mattered this week
Publication 03
Signals & Derivatives

10x Trading Signals

High-conviction trade ideas with clear entry, exit, and position sizing — plus the weekly Volatility Edge report covering BTC and ETH options. Includes full Market Updates access. For active traders who want a systematic edge, not just analysis.

  • Specific trade ideas with entry, target, and stop — not vague direction calls
  • Weekly 10x Volatility Edge: options strategies for BTC and ETH
  • Bull call spreads, covered calls, and calendar spread recommendations
  • Live signals dashboard — track current positions and performance
  • Full 10x Market Updates access included
Publication 04
Institutional · Portfolio

10x CIO Strategy

The complete institutional research suite. Regime-level portfolio intelligence, the 10-factor regime model, on-chain turning point analysis, and cross-asset allocation strategy. For family offices, funds, and sophisticated investors managing meaningful capital. Includes all 10x Research publications.

  • The 10-factor regime model — the framework behind every major call
  • Portfolio allocation intelligence across crypto, equities, and hard assets
  • On-chain turning point analysis and cycle positioning
  • Institutional briefings and direct analyst access
  • All 10x Research publications included — complete platform access
Not sure which one? → Find your fit

What our subscribers say.

From portfolio managers and family offices to active traders and macro investors across three continents.

★★★★★

“The call to exit in late 2021 and re-enter in early 2023 was the single most valuable research decision I followed all cycle. The regime model doesn’t lie.”

Portfolio Manager
Family Office · Singapore
CIO Strategy
★★★★★

“I read a lot of crypto research. Most is noise. 10x Market Updates is the only publication that gives me a structured framework for what Bitcoin is doing and why — every single week.”

Independent Investor
Crypto · London
Market Updates
★★★★★

“The Volatility Edge report has changed how I think about crypto options completely. The 23-rule framework is something I now apply every single trade.”

Derivatives Trader
Crypto Options · Hong Kong
★★★★★

“What Matters is the only macro research I’ve read that connects Bitcoin, gold, Starlink, and fertilizer into a coherent investment thesis that actually holds up over time.”

Macro Investor
Multi-Asset · Zurich
What Matters
★★★★★

“Markus called the April 2024 reversal three days before it happened. That one call paid for years of subscriptions. The research quality here is genuinely institutional.”

Fund Analyst
Crypto Fund · Dubai
Market Updates
★★★★★

“I came from TradFi and was skeptical of crypto research. CIO Strategy changed my view entirely. The cross-asset framework and on-chain analysis are world-class by any standard.”

Chief Investment Officer
Wealth Manager · Sydney
CIO Strategy

The calls that defined the cycle.

Every major Bitcoin turning point since 2022 — called ahead of consensus, published in real time.

Oct 2022
Bitcoin Cycle Low — Buy Signal
Identified the Bitcoin cycle low amid peak bearish sentiment when most analysts expected further downside. Called the start of the next bull market.
Read the CoinDesk report →
BTC rallied to $126,000
Jul 2023
$125,000 Cycle Top Projection
Projected a $125,000 cycle top following Bitcoin’s breakout to a new 12-month high — two years before the target was reached. Published in CoinDesk.
Read the CoinDesk report →
Target hit within 2%
Oct 2025
Bear Market Warning — Take Profits
Identified the start of a structural bear market as on-chain momentum weakened and key levels broke down. Clients advised to reduce exposure before the drawdown accelerated.
Read the Yahoo Finance report →
Drawdown followed
2022 – Now
Systematic Signals — Every Major Turn
Our proprietary signal framework has identified every major Bitcoin turning point since 2022. 764 reports published. Every major cycle turn called ahead of consensus.
Consistent edge
See all 14 documented calls →

The Complete Suite

Four publications. One research platform. From macro thesis to daily Bitcoin signals — choose the access level that fits your portfolio and style.

  • 10x What Matters — weekly cross-asset macro
  • 10x Market Updates — 3–5× per week crypto intelligence
  • 10x Trading Signals — live trade ideas & options
  • 10x CIO Strategy — full institutional suite
Find your publication →

Hedge fund discipline.
Applied to crypto markets.

10x Research was founded in November 2023 by Markus Thielen — a former hedge fund CIO with over two decades of experience across global macro, cross-asset strategy, and portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and Millennium Capital.

The firm publishes four research products serving professional investors, family offices, and active traders across Asia, Europe, and North America. Every publication is built on the same foundation: systematic, regime-based analysis — not narrative, not noise.

10x Research correctly called Bitcoin’s 2022 cycle low, projected the $125k target before consensus, and has been cited by Bloomberg, CNBC, and CoinDesk as one of the most accurate voices in institutional crypto research.

20+
Years in institutional finance, global macro, and portfolio management
4
Publications covering crypto, macro, signals, and cross-asset research
’23
10x Research founded in Singapore (UEN: 202346933M)
3
Continents — Asia, Europe, North America — covered by subscribers
Subscriber Access

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Step 2
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Step 3
What do you primarily invest in?
Crypto only
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Crypto + macro / hard assets
Step 4
What matters most to you?
Bitcoin direction & catalysts
Specific trade ideas & signals
Cycle positioning & regime
Macro thesis & structural trends

Recommended for you
10x Market Updates
$948 / YEAR
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Also consider: Trading Signals if you want specific entry and exit ideas
10x Trading Signals
$2,425 / YEAR — includes full Market Updates access
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Already on Market Updates? Contact us to upgrade at a prorated rate
Recommended for you
10x CIO Strategy
$10,000 / YEAR — includes all 10x Research publications
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For funds and institutions: get in touch about enterprise licensing
Recommended for you
10x What Matters
$899 / YEAR
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Pair with Market Updates for daily crypto execution context
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Sample Research

See the research before you subscribe.

Three extracts from recent publications — the opening analysis from each product, exactly as subscribers receive it.

10x Market Updates Apr 15, 2026
While Futures Traders Look Backward, Something Else Is Buying Bitcoin

Funding rates have been negative for six consecutive weeks. On the surface, that looks bearish — traders paying to be short, excess pessimism in the derivatives market. But the spot price hasn’t moved lower. That divergence is telling us something important about who is actually buying this market.

“When futures markets price in downside that spot markets refuse to confirm, it is almost never the futures traders who are right. The question is not whether spot is being bought — it clearly is. The question is by whom, and at what size.”
The answer lies in a mechanism that most retail participants have never heard of: the MSTR/STRC convertible bond arbitrage. When MicroStrategy issues convertible notes to institutional buyers, those buyers hedge their equity exposure by shorting Bitcoin futures — creating the persistent negative funding we have been tracking since February. Meanwhile, the actual Bitcoin being accumulated sits quietly in cold storage, invisible to on-chain trackers focused on exchange flows. Our STRC Funding Stress Indicator is currently reading 6.2% — well inside the green zone below 7.9%. This is not a market that is being sold. This is a market that is being absorbed. Here is what the setup implies for positioning over the next 30 days, and the two specific signals we are watching for confirmation of the next leg higher.
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$948 / year · 3–5 reports per week View subscription →
10x What Matters May 2, 2026
The SpaceX Thesis: Why the Most Important IPO in a Generation Is Also a Bitcoin Trade

Every 500 years, a technology shift destroys the dominant institution. The printing press killed the Church’s monopoly on information. Gunpowder ended feudalism’s monopoly on violence. Today, low-orbit satellite networks and cryptographic money are dismantling the nation-state’s monopoly on two things it has controlled since Westphalia: jurisdiction and currency.

“Starlink is not a satellite company. It is the physical infrastructure layer for jurisdiction-free transactions — the thing Davidson and Rees-Mogg described in 1997 as the precondition for sovereign individuals. SpaceX’s IPO is not a tech listing. It is the privatisation of that infrastructure.”
The three What Matters themes — dollar debasement, commodity supercycle, and frontier privatisation — are not three separate theses. They are one thesis expressed in three asset classes. Gold and Bitcoin are the monetary layer of the transition. Critical minerals and energy are the physical constraint on the new economy. SpaceX and Starlink are the infrastructure that makes jurisdiction-free capital flows possible at scale. When we frame the SpaceX IPO in this context, the investment case becomes significantly stronger than a simple growth equity multiple. We are not buying a rocket company at 30x revenue. We are buying the physical layer of the post-Westphalian financial system at a moment when institutional capital is beginning to price in that transition. Here is how we are thinking about sizing, entry points, and the relationship between the SpaceX position and our existing Bitcoin and gold allocations.
🔒 Subscriber content
Subscribe to What Matters →

$899 / year · Every Friday View subscription →
10x Trading Signals · Volatility Edge May 9, 2026
BTC May Bull Call Spread: Why We Are Buying the $88K/$96K Structure This Week

Most Bitcoin options traders lose money for one reason: they buy options when implied volatility is high, and sell them — or let them expire — when it is low. The 23-rule framework exists to systematically invert that behavior. This week’s setup is a textbook example of why the bull call spread is structurally superior to the outright call in the current volatility environment.

“IV rank is sitting at 34th percentile. That means options are cheaper than they have been 66% of the time over the past year. You do not sell premium in this environment. You buy defined-risk structures that give you asymmetric upside at a fraction of the cost of holding spot.”
Trade setup: Buy the BTC May 30 $88,000 call, sell the BTC May 30 $96,000 call. Net debit approximately $1,240 per contract at current mid. Maximum gain $6,760 per contract if BTC closes above $96,000 at expiry — a 5.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Break-even at $89,240. Position sizing: no more than 2% of portfolio notional per the 23-rule framework Rule 7 on defined-risk structures. This is not a directional prediction. It is a structured bet that the current IV environment is underpricing a move to new highs over the next three weeks, based on the on-chain signals we identified in Monday’s Market Updates briefing. Stop logic, adjustment triggers, and the specific conditions under which we would close early are detailed below.
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$2,425 / year · Includes Market Updates View subscription →

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