API or Codex downtime and issues raise the odds.
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NEXT 48 HOURS
Reading the clouds...
Checking the live OpenAI status feed.
RECENT MOVEMENT
What changed the forecast
- Checking recent score changes...
THE VERDICT
Stand by your tokens.
Connecting to the incident desk...
UNOFFICIAL QUOTA METEOROLOGY
Will Codex reset?
A weather report for the brief, strange window between ordinary usage and unexpected generosity.
PREDICTION SIGNALS
We check public clues, read the tea leaves, and watch for launch confetti. It is not quite science, but it does have a cooldown timer.
Team vagueposting raises the odds.
Open @thsottiaux on X ↗Potential releases, parties, and events raise the odds.
A recent reset lowers the odds of another immediate refill.
The forecast watches API or Codex issues, OpenAI team vagueposting, potential product releases, and OpenAI events. It is a transparent heuristic, not a serious statistical model.