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The Intersection’s way-too-early 2028 Democratic primary model
Yes, it's next to impossible to predict. So what?
Sep 8, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
16
1
The realignment is here
The first GOP popular vote win in 20 years, the Red Wave hit everywhere, 2024 realigned the electorate as much as 2016, less secure voters moved towards…
Nov 15, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
60
15
9
The book that explains the 2024 election
Revisiting Party of the People, one year later
Nov 6, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
15
4
4
The myth of MAGA isolationism
Polymarket insiders, the Claude Code moment, AI as the new crypto, the 2020s population race
Jan 9
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Patrick Ruffini
10
4
The narrow Dem playing field
Living in the past, it’s the phones, why you should worry less, the podcast primary, Republican boy moms, who you spend time with visualized
Dec 19, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
10
2
1
Most Popular
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The realignment is here
Nov 15, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
60
15
9
America now has more Republicans than Democrats
Dec 30, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
39
10
15
Why this extremely viral poll result might not be real
Mar 28, 2023
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Patrick Ruffini
31
10
1
Actually, you should look at margins, not vote share
Oct 12, 2024
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Patrick Ruffini
22
31
11
Latest
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Time for Trump to go all in on Freedom Cities for the midterms
Wonks won’t build the housing we need — but a brash former real estate mogul just might
Dec 18, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
9
1
1
Democratic voters support democratic socialism 3-to-1
Young voters and antisemitism, the New Entrant GOP, the Mississippi miracle, SCOTUS poised to end coordination limits, AI progress, trust in government…
Dec 12, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
23
2
7
The myth of the Trump-only voter
When no one votes Democrats win, redistricting a wash, 40% of young women would leave the U.S. if they could, scary AI progress, the rise of the…
Dec 5, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
16
4
2
The low-propensity voter theory of everything
Don't spend your time thinking about a MAGA crackup. Think about this instead.
Nov 21, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
18
1
4
The Internet vs. real life, quantified
Political Tribes Quiz results, Realignment wakeup call, why Texas isn't a dummymander, moderation still wins, Nate Silver's blistering takedown, a key…
Nov 14, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
14
2
3
What's your political tribe?
Echelon's Political Tribes Quiz is here. See how the terminally online compare with actual voters.
Nov 12, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
15
6
4
What the heck just happened?
An iron law of off-year turnout, the Jersey Hispanic vote, low-propensity voters are obsessed with affordability, Dems win economy voters 2-to-1, NYC…
Nov 7, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
22
3
2
Where are the centrist insurgents?
Democrats need to fight the system, not just be more moderate.
Nov 4, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
34
9
6
Will Democrats decide to win?
2025 endgame, AAPOR's 2024 polling postmortem, how AI hurts productivity, cooperation with China, trends on moral disapproval, immigration as a crime…
Oct 31, 2025
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Patrick Ruffini
22
1
5
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The Intersection
Exploring the intersection of politics & data with Patrick Ruffini
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