Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute; Consultant & Advisor
San Francisco, California, United States
30K followers
500+ connections
About
I am a seasoned expert and technical leader within the field of macroeconomics (+16 years in industry, econ PhD).
I have two passions — understanding what is going on in the macroeconomy and labor market, and helping ensure that that "what" is harnessed to benefit the billions of people who rely on the labor market to make better lives for themselves.
During my career, I have been both a manager and a senior individual contributor - building economic indicators, econometric models, and labor statistic reports; talking to customers and journalists; and advising leaders on the macroeconomy's business impact.
Articles by Guy
Activity
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Still no sign of a surge in US layoffs in our higher-quality data. 1/ Initial claims for unemployment insurance were 197K in the week ended January…
Still no sign of a surge in US layoffs in our higher-quality data. 1/ Initial claims for unemployment insurance were 197K in the week ended January…
Shared by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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When Bijal Shah shared her regret about never being able to track down the teacher who had changed her life, I couldn’t help but roll up my sleeves…
When Bijal Shah shared her regret about never being able to track down the teacher who had changed her life, I couldn’t help but roll up my sleeves…
Liked by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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Between calls, deadlines, and endless Teams notifications, there's one daily, recurring "meeting" that's sacred on my calendar. It's not with a…
Between calls, deadlines, and endless Teams notifications, there's one daily, recurring "meeting" that's sacred on my calendar. It's not with a…
Liked by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
Experience
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The Burning Glass Institute
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Task Force Member
State of New Jersey Future of Work Task Force
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RBS Global Banking & Markets
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Bank of America, Corporate Investments Group
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Intern
Congressional Budget Office, Macroeconomics Division
Education
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Yale University
Ph.D Economics
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Activities and Societies: Cowles Prize Ryochi Sasakawa Fellowship
- Job Market Paper: “The ‘Compensation Hypothesis’ and the Determinants of Food Aid Distribution in Rural Ethiopia”
· Using statistical methods, modeled and analyzed whether village elders in rural Ethiopia are compensating farmers for
negative price effects of food aid
· Evaluated the welfare implications of local food aid policy
· Papers: “Endogenous Trade Protection in the Philippines”, “Preferential Trade Liberalization and Reputation Effects: A Building Block for…- Job Market Paper: “The ‘Compensation Hypothesis’ and the Determinants of Food Aid Distribution in Rural Ethiopia”
· Using statistical methods, modeled and analyzed whether village elders in rural Ethiopia are compensating farmers for
negative price effects of food aid
· Evaluated the welfare implications of local food aid policy
· Papers: “Endogenous Trade Protection in the Philippines”, “Preferential Trade Liberalization and Reputation Effects: A Building Block for Multilateral Liberalization?” -
UC San Diego
B.A. Economics and Mathematics
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Activities and Societies: - Phi Beta Kappa - Regents Scholarship
- Magna Cum Laude with GPA 3.85
- Double major in economics and mathematics; double minor in philosophy and history
Skills
Recommendations received
2 people have recommended Guy
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Thanks to Madison H. for including me in her 2026 labor market preview for Business Insider. Lots of other smart(er than me) people also cited here…
Thanks to Madison H. for including me in her 2026 labor market preview for Business Insider. Lots of other smart(er than me) people also cited here…
Shared by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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Thanks to Abha Bhattarai at The Washington Post for chatting with me about an unusually weak corner of the labor market right now - people working…
Thanks to Abha Bhattarai at The Washington Post for chatting with me about an unusually weak corner of the labor market right now - people working…
Shared by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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Thanks to Stephanie Hughes at Marketplace by APM for chatting with me about the extremely challenging environment for young people who are currently…
Thanks to Stephanie Hughes at Marketplace by APM for chatting with me about the extremely challenging environment for young people who are currently…
Shared by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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Job postings from Indeed are down a little from a year ago, and *new* postings are roughly at year-ago levels. While the labor market is very slowly…
Job postings from Indeed are down a little from a year ago, and *new* postings are roughly at year-ago levels. While the labor market is very slowly…
Shared by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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What is U-6 and what is telling us? 1/ I've seen more folks recently citing U-6, a BLS metric, as a counterpoint to the unemployment rate (also…
What is U-6 and what is telling us? 1/ I've seen more folks recently citing U-6, a BLS metric, as a counterpoint to the unemployment rate (also…
Shared by Guy Berger, Ph.D.
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