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Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US employment and central banks’ leaders take the stage

The EUR/USD pair fell sharply for a second consecutive week, trading as low as 1.1324 before recovering towards the current 1.1410 price zone. The US Dollar Index (DXY) peaked at 101.80, its highest in little over a year, extending the positive momentum triggered by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish hold and easing Middle East tensions.

Gold: Sell-off intensifies, putting the $4,000 handle at risk

Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to start the week before turning south and plunging to its lowest level since November, below $4,000. Although the precious metal managed to find a foothold, it struggled to stage a decisive rebound and ended the week deep in negative territory.

The US economy beat the Iran shock. Can it beat inflation too?

Bitcoin: BTC hits 20-month low, will the pain continue?

Bitcoin (BTC) recovers slightly, trading at $66,000 on Friday after reaching a new yearly low of $58,115 earlier this week, its lowest level since October 2024. Institutional selling intensified as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded $1.35 billion in net outflows through Thursday.

US Dollar: The Dollar's second wind as markets rethink the Fed

Another promising week for the US Dollar (USD). Indeed, the Greenback climbed to levels last seen in early May 2025 near the 102.00 barrier, as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY). The continuation of the move higher in the buck was propped up by rising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might keep its cautious stance, or even hike rates, later in the year.

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In-Depth Analysis

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.