WAR MACHINE
Prediction markets on geopolitical events.
Trade YES or NO. Markets resolve in minutes.
Stake USDC on what happens next.
What You Can Trade
Middle EastT-12:34
Airstrike confirmed in Southern Lebanon?
Yes · 67¢
No · 33¢
EuropeT-08:21
Drone activity reported in Kherson Oblast?
Yes · 45¢
No · 55¢
AfricaT-15:02
Explosion reported in Khartoum?
Yes · 52¢
No · 48¢
EuropeT-04:47
Artillery fire in Donetsk region?
Yes · 71¢
No · 29¢
Middle EastT-11:15
Missile intercept over Northern Israel?
Yes · 38¢
No · 62¢
AfricaT-17:33
Clash reported near Red Sea shipping lane?
Yes · 29¢
No · 71¢
Markets spawn automatically from live conflict data across three active theaters.
Platform at a Glance
20 min
Average market duration
3 theaters
Ukraine, Middle East, Africa
USDC
Stake and collect in stablecoins
OSINT
Verified settlement from open-source intelligence
How It Works
01
Pick a Market
Markets spawn automatically from live conflict data. Choose from events across Ukraine, the Middle East, and Africa. Every market is a YES/NO question that resolves within 20 minutes.
02
Stake YES or NO
Deposit USDC into the YES or NO pool. No order book, no complexity. Your share of the pool is your position.
03
Collect When It Resolves
Markets settle using verified OSINT data from ACLED and LiveUAMap. If you're right, you split the payout pool. Settlement is deterministic and verifiable.
Example MarketT-12:34
Will an airstrike be confirmed in Southern Lebanon within 20 min?
Yes · 67¢
No · 33¢
Settlement source: ACLED + LiveUAMap · Evidence bundle attached at resolution
Why War Machine
Markets that take weeks to resolve.
Manually created questions with no data source.
Opaque settlement decided behind closed doors.
20-minute resolution. Auto-spawning markets. OSINT-verified settlement.
Built for Trust
Non-Custodial
Your wallet, your funds. Sign transactions directly from your Solana wallet. No deposits to a centralized exchange.
Verifiable Settlement
Every market resolves against OSINT evidence with a full provenance trail. Same data, same outcome, every time.
Auto-Spawning Markets
Markets are created automatically from geopolitical activity heatmaps. There is always something to trade.
On-Chain on Solana
Market creation, deposits, settlement, and claims are all on-chain. Fast, cheap, transparent.
Settlement Verification
Verified
Evidence Quality94%
Source Agreement88%
Data Freshness96%
Market Resolved
Settlement confirmed via ACLED event data. Evidence bundle hash: 0x7f3a...c291. Payout distributed to YES holders.
[ EVIDENCE BUNDLE ATTACHED ]
Who Trades Here
I follow conflict news
Turn your geopolitical knowledge into positions on real events. If you track OSINT, you already have an edge.
I trade prediction markets
Tired of waiting weeks for resolution? War Machine markets resolve in minutes, not months.
I want fast-resolving markets
20-minute binary markets, auto-generated from live data. No creator fees, no waiting for someone to make a market.
I run trading bots
Humans and AI agents trade side by side. Programmatic access to high-frequency geopolitical markets.
I need geopolitical signal
Market price paths as early-warning indicators. See how beliefs shift before consensus forms.
Try the Demo
See it in action.
Markets are running. Explore the demo.
Terminal
$warmachine--demo
No wallet required. The demo is fully interactive.