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Research Program
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Posted on 22 Sep 2025
ERC: The Violence Early-Warning System
VIEWS began as a pioneering research initiative to address a pressing global need: early, reliable, and actionable forecasts of political violence. The pilot project – then known as the political Violence Early-Warning System (ViEWS) – ran from 2017-2021, laying the technical and methodological groundwork for the system’s current operational form.
Topics: Conflict forecasting -
Posted on 16 Sep 2025
NRC: Uncertainty of Forecasting Fatalities (UFFAC)
Building onto and expanding the Violence & Impacts Early Warning System (VIEWS), the UFFAC project sets out to develop prediction models that forecast the number of fatalities in armed conflict while carefully exploring and assessing the multiple sources of uncertainty thereof with each monthly release of new VIEWS data.
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Posted on 16 Sep 2025
ERC: ViEWS Proof of Concept
Funded by an ERC Proof-of-Concept grant, this project aimed to explore and enhance the societal relevance of ViEWS’ global and subnational conflict forecasts.
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Posted on 16 Sep 2025
CRAF’d: VIEWS – People in Need
VIEWS-PIN is an academic research project set to provide early warnings of the need for humanitarian assistance for all months in a rolling three-year forecasting window, for all Low and Middle Income Countries (LMICs).
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Posted on 15 Sep 2025
ERC: ANTICIPATE
ANTICIPATE is a multi-disciplinary research project directed by Professor Håvard Hegre. It brings together scholars from economics, epidemiology, political science, and conflict research to study the impacts of armed conflicts on human development – in close collaboration with researchers from the “Societies at Risk” project at Uppsala University.
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Posted on 21 Jan 2025
RJ: Societies at Risk
Societies at Risk is a multi-disciplinary research program that bring together scholars from public health research, economics, political science, peace and conflict research, and natural disaster science to study the impacts of armed conflict on human development. Results will be coordinated into the operational VIEWS model. The project is closely connected with the ANTICIPATE project.
