Monday, 19 October 2020

Value at Risk (VaR): This Famous Wall Street Metric Can Aid Your Trading and Investing Decisions

Value at Risk or VaR as it's usually referred to, is a Risk Management metric widely used by many Banks and Investment Banks around the world. The post explores the basics of the definition, the calculation and the usage of this famous Wall Street Metric.

Monday, 3 August 2020

Cupid Limited Valuation: David Vs. Goliath

Cupid limited is a manufacturer of Male and Female Condoms, mostly for the global B2G Condoms market. The company also produces Lubricant Jelly, Hand Sanitizer and related health and hygiene products. COVID19 is most likely to pose serious challenges for the company, with Donor Funding re-routed to fight the pandemic. What are the long term prospects for the seemingly small, Nashik-based Condom Manufacturer and what does it all tell us about its Value?

Monday, 16 December 2019

VST Industries Valuation: Smokin' Hot

The Vazir Sultan Tobacco Company or 'VST Industries' for short, is an age-old player in the Cigarette and Tobacco products market in India. The on-going lull in the economy has impacted the Sales volume of this industry as well. But with a hard-to-quite habit like smoking, the runway enjoyed by this industry is virtually limitless. But this does come with severe restrictions in terms of reinvestment, advertisement and punishing taxation by the Government of India.

Monday, 7 October 2019

The Impact of Tax Rate-cuts on Value: Game Theory and Dominant Strategies

Most people in India, especially her investors, have welcomed Indian Government's Corporate Tax Rate-cut with fanfare. While first level thoughts may deceive us into believing all that extra money directly adds to the value of all companies, a deeper level thought process provides a more accurate understanding.

Monday, 26 August 2019

Ashok Leyland Valuation: What the Truck

Ashok Leyland is one of the top firms in the Commercial Vehicle segment in India. Near-term deterrents like new axle norms, implementation of the BS-VI standards and a very likely hike in vehicle registration charges may very well play the spoilsport. But if history is any indication, regulations do not have long-lasting impact. If the company can indeed cross these barriers, what will it be worth today?