The thematic rhythm has gotten a little mixed up here. Counterculture heavy. The Mathematics of Evolution pair soaked up a lot of attention because of sheer significance. Given how attentive this place is to the House of Lies, there’s no way toppling a main pillar with an ironclad novel argument wasn’t going to be important. There have been a couple of socialization posts, so that’s fine.

Oral history is due, but they usually ride along with socialization. They serve as accessible examples , and a recent encounter filled that role in the last post. I’m not interested in blathering about myself for its own sake either. Self-indulgence expresses weaknesses. So I have to wait for something to come up where a personal anecdote adds to the piece.

The AI conversations deserve some comment. It must appear as if I was an enthusiastic advocate, then crickets. The Probability Zero review post listed the pathbreaking integration of the latest frontier AIs as important. It’s actually more than that. Talking with early DeepSeek let me map out how it “thinks” experientially. And then share basic observations when misinformation was flying. Two points.

One post compared AI to the internet. On the personal anecdote side, Gen X remembers the arrival of the internet as a mass thing. Making the point here and IRL that getting in early on paradigm shifts is essential.

Because the first form is always simplest and most limited. Understanding the basics right away → easy to add developments as they come. AI improvement is happening much faster than PC/internet technology. The latest models are so much more capable to seem different in kind. The basic understanding holds, but actualizing all the potential takes learning time. I have a lot to say about that, but we need to finish something first. A couple of weeks before I can be more concrete. Tl,dr - AI conversations will be back when they’re ready.

Finally, there’s Scriptposting. The earlier concern The Script jumped the shark has borne out. To the point where a distinct Script pattern is no longer visible. The original Script was the inorganic return of “Trump” via NPC direction and systemic control. Once that happened, the context changed and time was needed for new patterns to form. Aspects of the Script were visible in some of the moves. The opening barrage of orders is exactly what the hostile takeover would look like.

A few sour notes were listed from the start. The big one was commitment to the House of Lies.

The House is a nebulous place. How could it not be? A massive network of inversion and falsehood all claiming things opposite reality in one way or another, but different. All “commitment to it” can mean for sure is [not reality-facing] as understood here. Keep the centralized NPC control networks. Keep as many just so stories as stand up. Pretend it’s the ‘90s rhetorically with ‘20’s socio-cultural collapse. Basically change as little structurally as possible while doing whatever the real plan is.

What plays out is a year and counting of Bondi, useless Congress, and literal kakistocratic kleptocracy. Upholding the tattered pretence that the system works is more important than anything tangible. Except one thing. The bizarre fetishization of Israel has been mentioned here before. It’s not something I’ve commented on much because it’s obvious but murky as to how it works and the rhetoric is overdone.

But slowly sailing a huge armada to the Middle East and launching an unprovoked attack on Iran while pretending to negotiate … whatever this bizarre golem is, it’s a long way from Lee Greenwood or the 2015 rallies. The collapse is accelerating, and dying empires are most erratic in their throes. Set aside ancestral visceral hatred for cowardice, treachery, and other dishonors. Opining about bloated obscenities and moron puppets isn’t productive. Expose the real issue here. I don’t know what’s going on and pretending to is dishonest.

Carlson, via the NYT, via Simplicius. That’s a solid correlation.

What we can do is work through it. I was always skeptical of Israeli tail wagging the dog theories. But I can’t reverse engineer another plausible alternative for the facts. So what we can do is try and frame conditions of possibility. Things to track when things are different than before. Working with AI has me thinking more logically. Not a bad thing to practice.

• The huge, slow, expensive, damaging buildup means this was planned for a while. Not agreement capable has degenerated to “white flag & hidden uzi”.

Metis Atash, Flacon: Building My Empire, Swarovski Crystals Sculpture

• Obvious problems. US AD is impotent against modern weapons. Source: Ukraine.

  • People with a live internet connection have watched a completely inverted fake narrative around Ukraine bewitch NPCs for years now. Logical and empirical incoherence not being a problem because those are relational judgments and NPCs don’t process information.

  • I assumed “Trump” or whatever was aware of reality. Eating 1000s of salvos was the alternative. Which appears to have been completely unexpected.

Albert Bettanier, The Black Stain, oil on canvas, 1887, Deutsches Historisches Museum, Berlin. The boy wears the ‘school battalion’ uniform instituted by the state in 1883. It allowed pupils to march, drill and practice shooting.

• There’s no practical reason. Even a retarded reason if believed is a reason. This one’s flip-flopped from a-bombs to missiles, to “preempting the Iranian reaction to an unprovoked Israeli attack”. The one strategic argument - which wouldn’t be stated - is impacting China’s resource access.

• No enthusiasm at all beyond rabid neoclown ghouls like Miss Lindsey. And Netanyahu. I don’t know enough to be sure, but I’m not sure most Israelis were keen. The Euroweasels, Gulf States, Trump’s own hand-picked mediocrities had to be put in line. Wildly unpopular at home. That level of consensus is uncommon.

• Falling in line is irrelevant.

  • The Gulf monarchies are the petro-dollar away from landing somewhere on the Gadhafi-Ceaușescu continuum.

  • The weasels are staring down the barrel of existential oblivion.

  • And the flacks are “The Left” 101. Someone like Hegseth is a middling clinical psychopath with the correct ideological shadings. There’s no way he sniffs these heights without a padrone. Like any number of leftist mediocrities, he owes everything to the system and lacks the capacity to perceive big pictures, let alone criticize.

  • As an aside, indebted mediocrities are all over this regime. The early Script posts identified fixers like Bondi and Patel. Like a fine wine…

• Netanyahu as frequent flier, plus all the related neoconnery and lobbying. Miss Linsey seems to get especially tumid at the thought of dead kids.

There’s no reason to leave a flank for rhetoric this incendiary.

• Epstein. Whatever degree of “Trump’s” personal complicity is unknowable. What isn’t is his disinterest in a massive pedocracy that has randos feeling sick. More important to launch sneak assassination attacks around the world.

• Beyond retarded geostrategically. At least Venezuela is a) in hemisphere and b) already had a deal with compradors in place. The energy and cargo volumes - the volatility is crazy. Apparently we aren’t worrying about inflation any more.

• Beyond retarded politically. Unless The Script retains control of the election machine or elections are off for collapse reasons, it’s a wrap.

• Morally indefensible. Sneak attacks while negotiating? Assassination as acceptable tactic? Constant lying? Mass murdering children on religious holidays? I’m old enough to remember when “Pearl Harbor” meant the bad guys.

• The constant asinine-tier lying. Could you just stop. Even just the deranged, all-caps, Gamma text walls.

• Greater Israel really is the only benefit path. Real Israel isn’t better off for this. And that’s contingent on total regional hegemony. Rumblings about Turkey follow.

The big vision looks incoherent. By the fruits, an arc → autarkic imperialism + Israel. Geographically in a totally different region with totally different dynamics and difficult to reach. It made a little more sense from the Cold War West with NATO into Turkey and carrying south. But now? That’s the logic behind the Greater Israel hypothesis. Ideology aside, it’s what securing its current existence without the US would look like. Sufficient land and resources and regional rivals defanged.

The closest thing to logic is burn what left of collapsing US power, because there’s only going to be less of it. That presumes significant control. Hedging Chinese resources seems a parallel benefit. I’m open to other ideas.

There’s probably more. But it would be disingenuous to claim not to know then only lean one way. Wanting to have more impact than willing to own. Here are some things that need to be resolved.

• This is ongoing. Let’s see where it goes. US withdrawal throws Israel under the bus. There is a pathway there from the new stories. I don’t think it’s likely but can’t be ruled out.

• I don’t know what happens politically in the near term. The landscape could be different or similar.

• A moron-tier version of The Sicilian Expedition kick-starts collapse, retrenches personnel abroad at home, and bursts illusions of foreign adventure. The question is whether that’s desirable by “Trump”?1

Someone’s walking the plank. The question is who.

Next political tracking post will have some immediate answers to work with. Including some thoughts on what “Trump” is structurally. Need to see how this shakes out first.