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Hanno Lustig
@HannoLustig
Economist at Stanford. Fascinated by exchange rates. Really wanted to be a pilot. Check out my substack with Romain Wacziarg thetwocents.substack.com.
Joined June 2020
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    2024 may also be remembered as the year U.S. fiscal exuberance died. post-mortem 🧵 on how we got here. Right now, with the 10 year US Treasury yield trading well above 4.5% and the federal government spending roughly the equivalent of the defense budget just on interest
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    Twitter is like Belgium. It will keep running even when no one is in charge for long periods of time.
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    Just had a good phone call with Trader Joe's. I'm going to keep shopping there for now.
    To reduce my bilateral trade deficit with Trader Joe's, I am now going to shop at Whole Foods, which is more expensive and a bit further way. Thanks all for your advice.
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    real images of economists under 30 observing inflation for the first time in the wild.
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    in a parliamentary democracy, right about now, you'd face a vote of no confidence as the PM.
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    To reduce my bilateral trade deficit with Trader Joe's, I am now going to shop at Whole Foods, which is more expensive and a bit further way. Thanks all for your advice.
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    Germany can't reverse shutdown of nuclear power plants because of a complex regulatory process. That's like an airline captain refusing to make an emergency landing at an airport because of night time noise regulations.
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    It takes a politician at the end of his rope to explain to boomers how they've screwed over their kids.
    🇫🇷PM:"They will have to pay the debt, for the rest of their lives. And we made them believe it should increase even more. Genius, don’t you think? All for the comfort of political parties, and for those we call boomers and who, afterall, are fine with it"
    00:00
    🦊 cl au
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    Bitcoin is not an asset. It's not a claim to any future payoffs (e.g. coupon payments, dividends etc). It's not money. And it's not a hedge.
    Spot on. 🎯 Bitcoin is the only decentralized crypto and is the only one viewed globally as an asset. All other coins mentioned for the Strategic Reserve are simply grift and favors bought.
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    De-growth is the ultimate bourgeois ideology, dreamed up by spoiled kids in developed countries who would close the door behind them, oblivious to the fate of billions in the left tail of the global income distribution whose only hope to make it out of poverty is growth.
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    GDP of Russia is $1.48 trillion, roughly equal to the GDP of Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg combined. GDP of EU is $17 trillion. time to invest a bit more in defense in Europe?
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    Huge protest in Brussels because the Belgian government wants to reform pensions, increasing the retirement age to 67. Lots of young people out on the streets who apparently can't do the intergenerational math.
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    The left in Europe is so used to reflexively pushing back against any reform of the welfare state/pension system that they don't realize that, in doing so, they're now actually actively redistributing towards the older and wealthier haves, away from the younger, poorer have-nots.
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    Uniquely French scandal. Their president successfully forced incumbents who provide lousy and overpriced service to compete with new entrants. Dark forces at play.