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Trump's Inconsistent Messaging On Iran And The Middle East’s Dirty Secret: A Weak Iran In Present Form Is the Optimal Outcome For Gulf…
Mere days after Trump’s repeated, back-to-back promises to Iranian protesters that he had their back, that the United States was locked and loaded, and…
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Iran Protests: Trump Has Already Committed & Why Failing To Act Now Would Be Worse Than All Of The Alternatives.
It is happening.
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After the Trump Promise To Intervene—How to Act And Help Iranian Protesters Without Overreaching
In the previous post, we discussed the situation in Iran and how these recent protests (now entering their second week) are crucially different in their…
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Protests In Iran: A Regime Under Pressure from All Sides
The protests in Iran are now approaching their second week, and all available indicators suggest that this time the situation is far more serious than…
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Not the Next Venezuela: The Real Risks Facing Colombia and Mexico
If the seizure of Nicolás Maduro was a demonstration of American hard power, the mixed messages from Trump regarding its other regional antagonists…
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The Coalition of the Willing and the Credibility Gap: Why Small Forces, Ambiguous Mandates, and Politics Undermine Deterrence
The Coalition of the Willing statement in Paris this week represents the strongest measures taken by European powers to signal long-term support for…
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The Dangerous Precedent Argument: Maduro, Noriega, And The Crucial Distinction Between Illegitimate Regimes And Sovereignty Of States.
In the previous posts on Maduro’s capture, we discussed how:
 • The Bismarck Cables
The Bismarck Cables
The Bismarck Cables
Realpolitik assessments of foreign affairs - brief, ruthless, action-oriented.
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