Compounding intelligence.

Sosa Research is a private agentic intelligence lab for funds and institutions making high-stakes decisions under exponential change.

We build memory and forecasting systems that preserve institutional reasoning, forecast the conditions ahead, and stay under your control.

FORECAST CONFIDENCEWITHOUT RETAINEDREASONINGWITH RETAINEDREASONINGYEAR 1YEAR 3YEAR 5
Retained reasoning compounds foresight.
94%
Forecast accuracy
2020-2026 hold-out
94.5
Memory benchmark
LongMemEval
50
Year horizon
25 validated + 24 forward
100%
Ownership

Why now

The model is no longer the moat. The institutional reasoning is.

Every institution can access capable AI. Few retain the decisions, assumptions, missed calls, and local context that make those systems useful. Sosa Research turns that reasoning into memory, then tests it against scored forecasts.

What we install

  1. 01

    Scope the decision environment.

  2. 02

    Install memory and forecast surfaces.

  3. 03

    Score the system against resolved outcomes.

  4. 04

    Hand over an operating layer the institution controls.

Evidence

A forecast is only proven by what happens next.

Meridian publishes resolved calls, rolling Brier windows, long-window backtests, and an audit reference. Current public methodology covers 297 hold-out pairs and 99 forecast surfaces.

Systems

Omega Memory

Institutional memory for AI agents and human teams. Decisions, context, and lessons stay on your systems instead of disappearing between sessions or leadership changes.

Meridian

A probabilistic forecast layer for economic, geopolitical, and demographic shifts. Built for decisions this quarter, scored against outcomes over time.

Who it is for

Institutes and think tanks

Preserve expertise from research, interviews, and convenings, then test institutional claims against the shifts ahead.

Economic development teams

Read which sectors in a region are likely to grow, decline, or become strategically fragile before the next plan locks in.

Investment funds

Track whether a thesis still holds, where exposure is concentrating, and when a scenario range matters more than a point estimate.

Corporate strategy

Separate AI projects that can change the business from experiments that consume budget without creating durable advantage.

How we work

By introduction only. We build a working system you own. Not a report you have to interpret.

Client work stays confidential. Public pages show the methods, benchmarks, and product surfaces. The engagement itself is scoped around a decision environment the institution already carries.

Founded by Jason Sosa, 20+ years building AI companies and advising on exponential change.