Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Ray Bamford's avatar

Love the examples. One thing that stands out: in each case, the leaders made an early bet, in a complex situation, with much ambiguity and uncertainty... AND bet correctly! Are you aware of any examples where the initial bet was incorrect - yet, by clarifying the key assumptions and proactively testing them (and invalidating them), they corrected course and had a happy ending? This approach becomes much more robust if it doesn't require foresight (i.e., allows correction of mistaken assumptions). I'm also trying to be sensitive to survivorship bias and avoid cherry-picking, which I've seen many leaders (self included) struggle with.

Bret Snyder's avatar

Excellent post, solves a lot of problems I've seen where people go in circles without leadership setting a working specification.

7 more comments...

No posts

Ready for more?