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Nebius Q1 2026: The Forgotten Apocalypse
How a single quarter rearranged the four horsemen threat model, the valuation, and the way I think about this business.
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The Four Horsemen of the Nebius Apocalypse: A Threat-Model Scenario Analysis (2025–2030)
Nov 15, 2025
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Harry at Root Logic
11
8
Rocket Lab is overvalued, but I just added to my position.
Apr 29
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Harry at Root Logic
10
2
Q4: Checking in on the Four Horseman of the Nebius Apocalypse
Feb 13
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Harry at Root Logic
8
6
'Overstretched' valuations, and Anthropic growing 50% in a few weeks... you ain't seen nothing yet
May 11
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Harry at Root Logic
7
4
Recent posts
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'Overstretched' valuations, and Anthropic growing 50% in a few weeks... you ain't seen nothing yet
Part 1 of the AI 2030 series: Modelling out Anthropic's revenue growth to try and size the 2030 AI economy
May 11
•
Harry at Root Logic
7
4
The Four Horsemen of the Nebius Apocalypse: A Threat-Model Scenario Analysis (2025–2030)
A full scenario valuation for Nebius, using threat modelling to understand revenue growth, depreciation mechanics, dilution, and margin inflection
Nov 15, 2025
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Harry at Root Logic
11
8
CoreWeave is Undervalued
It's a lot of debt at first glance, but Nebius investors should understand the opportunity and valuation before dismissing the business.
May 29
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Harry at Root Logic
3
6
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