Real Estate Investing in Moose Pass, Alaska (99631)

Kenai Peninsula Borough • Population: 101 • Data updated: June 2026

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Should you buy in 99631 (Moose Pass, AK)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 58.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Moose Pass, AK (99631)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $283,616
Avg Monthly Rent $1,179
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $89,250
% Renters 42.4%

Market Analysis: 99631 Moose Pass

The 99631 ZIP in Moose Pass, AK is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $284K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $284K asset, 99631 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

On balance, 99631 offers a low basis, the region around Moose Pass has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Employment concentration in 99631 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The right play in 99631 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.49% as of Jun 25 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Moose Pass:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,179/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$294K$263K$231K$200K$168K$137KJan 2012Apr 2019May 2026

📊 How Does 99631 Compare?

Metric 99631 Moose Pass Alaska
Home Value $283,616 $283,616 $378,640
5-Year CAGR 3.0% 3.0% 3.6%
Avg Rent $1,179 $1,179 -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.2% -

Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles

Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.

💡 Why Invest in 99631? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 42% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 99631 (Moose Pass, AK). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $283,616
Monthly Rent $1,179
Price-to-Rent 20.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 6.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.5%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.5%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
58.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Moderate

Demographics in 99631

Population: 101

💰 Median Household Income
$89,250
This area
$89,250
State
$64,271
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
42.4%
This area
42.4%
State
30.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-13.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
39.5%
This area
39.5%
State
-3.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.9 years
This area
46.9 years
State
2.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
58.6%
This area
58.6%
State
37.0%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
24.1%
This area
24.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 99631

B Avg School Grade
1 Schools
20.4:1 Avg Class Size
$20,460 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Moose Pass School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
23 Students
👨‍🏫
20.4:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average monthly rent in Moose Pass, AK?

Rent in Moose Pass, AK is around $1,179/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $284K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

Are renters plentiful in Moose Pass, AK?

Moose Pass, AK draws a stable base of working renters. Demand at the $1,179/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

Should investors consider Moose Pass, AK?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Moose Pass, AK reflects its $284K prices and $1,179/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within AK.

What approach is best for Moose Pass, AK real estate?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Moose Pass, AK. The numbers - $284K homes against $1,179/mo rents - support that play.

How quickly do rentals get leased in Moose Pass, AK?

Moose Pass, AK carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect reliable absorption at market rents of $1,179/mo.

See what 99631 really looks like for investors

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