Real Estate Investing in Selma, Oregon (97538)

Josephine County • Population: 1,831 • Data updated: June 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 97538 (Selma, OR)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (29/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 21.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.3% CAGR).

What’s happening in Selma, OR (97538)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $328,040
Avg Monthly Rent $1,260
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $42,083
% Renters 7.6%

Market Analysis: 97538 Selma

This part of Josephine County is not an easy win. The 97538 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 97538 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Put differently, 97538 offers a low basis, the region around Selma has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

The demographic picture in 97538 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Selma averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 97538 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.49% as of Jun 25 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Selma:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 51/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.8× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,260/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Grants Pass, OR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
62 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of June 20, 2026 — updated weekly from Grants Pass, OR metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$375K$324K$273K$222K$171K$120KMay 2006May 2016May 2026

📊 How Does 97538 Compare?

Metric 97538 Selma Grants Pass, OR Oregon
Home Value $328,040 $328,040 N/A $493,884
5-Year CAGR 1.3% 1.3% N/A 4.9%
Avg Rent $1,260 $1,260 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 97538 (Selma, OR). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 97538 (Selma, OR)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.3%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Grants Pass, OR metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
67%
Days Pending
2/2
62 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $328,040
Monthly Rent $1,260
Price-to-Rent 21.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.6%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 4.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.5%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.5%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
21.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.3%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 97538

Population: 1,831

💰 Median Household Income
$42,083
This area
$42,083
State
$71,325
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
7.6%
This area
7.6%
State
28.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.6%
This area
4.6%
State
-6.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.8%
This area
17.8%
State
13.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.4 years
This area
40.4 years
State
31.5 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
21.1%
This area
21.1%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.8%
Other/Mixed 5.8%
Asian 1.4%
Hispanic/Latino 0.9%
👶 Under 18
25.1%
This area
25.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.0%
This area
21.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.3%
This area
15.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Selma, OR?

In Selma, OR the median home value sits at $328K. Against the broader OR market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

Where do rents currently stand in Selma, OR?

Rental rates in Selma, OR average $1,260/mo. Tenant demand and $328K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

How strict are landlord regulations in Selma, OR?

The landlord environment in Selma, OR is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

Is Selma, OR a good market for FHA house hackers?

House hacking in Selma, OR is reasonable to execute. Prices around $328K and rents of $1,260/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

What strategy should investors use in Selma, OR?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Selma, OR. The numbers - $328K homes against $1,260/mo rents - support that play.

See what 97538 really looks like for investors

You're reading the free snapshot. Unlock appreciation trends, cap rates, vacancy signals, Section 8 data, and full demographics for 97538.

Compare Plans
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 97538 (Selma)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 97538 (Selma, OR).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.