Real Estate Investing in Dale, Texas (78616)

Caldwell • Population: 10,008 • Data updated: June 2026

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Should you buy in 78616 (Dale, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 11.0% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Dale, TX (78616)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $371,231
Avg Monthly Rent $1,584
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $68,191
% Renters 17.8%

Market Analysis: 78616 Dale

The 78616 ZIP in Dale, TX is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $371K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

The investment case in 78616 is solid only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $371K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Nearby ZIPs in Dale have seen price recovery that 78616 has not matched. Caldwell data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Employment concentration in 78616 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The 78616 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.49% as of Jun 25 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Dale:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 66/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,584/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 78616

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+9.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$118,021/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $366,431 $1,760 3.5% $183,216
3BR $450,915 $2,240 3.6% +9.3% $150,305
4BR $472,085 $2,600 4.0% +7.5% $118,021

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$420K$357K$294K$231K$168K$105KMay 2006May 2016May 2026

📊 How Does 78616 Compare?

Metric 78616 Dale Texas
Home Value $371,231 $371,231 $297,000
5-Year CAGR 5.3% 5.3% 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,584 $1,584 -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 78616? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78616 (Dale, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 78616 (Dale, TX)?

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.3%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $371,231
Monthly Rent $1,584
Price-to-Rent 19.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.1%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 8.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.1% ▼
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.5%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.5%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
11.0%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78616

Population: 10,008

💰 Median Household Income
$68,191
This area
$68,191
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.8%
This area
17.8%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.7%
This area
1.7%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.5%
This area
14.5%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
33.8 years
This area
33.8 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
11.0%
This area
11.0%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 53.9%
Other/Mixed 45.8%
Hispanic/Latino 38.7%
Black/African American 0.3%
👶 Under 18
28.8%
This area
28.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.8%
This area
11.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.1%
This area
9.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78616

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
16.7:1 Avg Class Size
$12,002 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

ALMA BREWER STRAWN EL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
555 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,622 Per Student
B Good

CAMINO REAL EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
737 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,381 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are vacancy rates like in Dale, TX?

Vacancy in Dale, TX is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,584/mo.

What are rental rates like in Dale, TX?

Average rent in Dale, TX is approximately $1,584/mo per month. Against $371K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

How landlord-friendly is Dale, TX?

Landlord-friendliness in Dale, TX is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What kind of tenants rent in Dale, TX?

Tenant quality in Dale, TX ranks as solid. Landlords generally report consistent occupancy at market rents of $1,584/mo.

Is Dale, TX a smart market for rental property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Dale, TX reflects its $371K prices and $1,584/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TX.

See what 78616 really looks like for investors

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